NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f151eedbd551e2c050900f594ac112abc98074c4bbcb9eec73bc56f3b31a55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Maple Leafs, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $631,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $665,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 200,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,999.97 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kings | 64c | 176,100$112,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,656.97 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 65c | 63,003$40,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,051.08 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 45,538$15,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,992.28 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 64c | 30,606$19,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,018.27 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 64c | 24,559$15,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,845.21 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 23,717$8,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300.86 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kings | 64c | 13,892$8,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.09 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffa…6db7backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 13,430$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 12,783$7,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,765.3 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 11,809$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.49 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kings | 65c | 11,100$7,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kings | 60c | 10,504$6,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.99 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kings | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c4…ee30backed Kings | 56c | 9,048$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Kings | 49c | 8,910$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,537.13 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 7,646$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.51 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 7,557$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.56 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Kings | 64c | 7,091$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.71 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…ee3ebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,731$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 52c | 5,573$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.41 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 4,998$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.4 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kings | 59c | 4,408$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.27 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Kings | 42c | 4,311$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.13 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,244$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…3a8abacked Kings | 54c | 4,189$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Kings | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kings | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Kings | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.95 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,988$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.4 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Kings | 30c | 3,915$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 3,835$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.66 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 64c | 3,588$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.68 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 3,546$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.41 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kings | 64c | 3,463$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.97 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 3,452$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.84 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 3,346$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.95 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 3,156$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.64 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 64c | 2,915$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.57 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Kings | 64c | 2,781$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.16 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 2,294$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.01 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 47c | 2,268$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.84 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…ed5ebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Kings | 37c | 2,163$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,067$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.6 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,012$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.87 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,999$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.14 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,902$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.98 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 1,692$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,677$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,654$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.36 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,580$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.75 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,578$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Kings | 56c | 1,556$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.65 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Maple Leafs | 14c | 1,524$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.18 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Maple Leafs | 8c | 1,474$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,392$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 59c | 1,234$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.94 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Maple Leafs | 73c | 1,222$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.13 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe15b…bff1backed Kings | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 64c | 1,176$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.37 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,104$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.08 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Kings | 53c | 1,090$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.8 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,047$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.97 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…a9cfbacked Kings | 64c | 1,010$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kings | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Kings | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Maple Leafs | 7c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kings | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 962.36$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.32 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Kings | 36c | 952.64$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.61 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 944.84$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.47 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Kings | 50c | 894.31$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.31 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 882.99$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.57 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c7…329fbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 870.27$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 65c | 855.72$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.92 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Kings | 55c | 834.28$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.42 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 832.12$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.67 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 829.16$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.64 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 810$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…c197backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 797.3$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 750.83$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.05 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 749.5$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.85 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 731.6$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.88 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Kings | 30c | 699.38$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.03 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kings | 64c | 686$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 640$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.91 | 303 | 65.7%199 W · 104 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…e490backed Kings | 64c | 615.75$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 45c | 613.58$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.16 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…444ebacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Kingsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Kings: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.