TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Maple Leafs vs. Kings: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,817 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Under55c2,193$1,206 inLost-$1,206.3151045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Over45c1,822$820 inWon+$1,002.224372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over63c1,166$738 inWon+$428.4589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under49c1,125$547 inLost-$546.8731828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over41c610.67$250 inWon+$360.3113348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under35c399.91$141 inLost-$141.132,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon+$122.224050%20 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under55c217.22$119 inLost-$119.4713445.5%61 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over33c178.66$59 inWon+$119.552,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Under48c176.05$85 inLost-$8511162.2%69 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c175.44$75 inWon+$1002,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost-$10014560.7%88 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c163.04$72 inWon+$91.31,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under57c150$85 inLost-$8582353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over45c114$51 inWon+$62.72,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0101…3728backed Over45c108.7$49 inWon+$59.793066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under56c98.21$55 inLost-$555455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over62c75.9$47 inWon+$28.9521463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under56c69.82$39 inLost-$39.16251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over45c52.56$24 inWon+$28.9115651.9%81 W · 75 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over45c45.97$21 inWon+$25.2845651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over44c40.26$18 inWon+$22.5415444.8%69 W · 85 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over45c40$18 inWon+$221838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over45c30$13 inWon+$16.68964%57 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over56c20.88$12 inWon+$9.2314045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over78c17.95$14 inWon+$3.952,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.