NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dc72b75721e0b15ffb8bbe48db9761b7d877f157c226f8e1e75880f298c1619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Avalanche | 52c | 108,499$56,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,079.31 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Stars | 48c | 101,522$48,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,834.07 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Stars | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Stars | 43c | 14,193$6,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,131.72 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Avalanche | 52c | 9,400$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Stars | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Avalanche | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.81 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 55c | 7,254$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.16 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Avalanche | 52c | 6,900$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Avalanche | 52c | 6,875$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…ae70backed Avalanche | 52c | 5,961$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 48c | 5,025$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Avalanche | 54c | 4,293$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.2 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Avalanche | 52c | 3,440$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.79 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Avalanche | 52c | 3,417$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.16 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Avalanche | 52c | 3,168$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.8 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Stars | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Stars | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.95 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Stars | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 47c | 2,337$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c7…3c49backed Stars | 49c | 2,308$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Stars | 19c | 2,212$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.8 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Stars | 24c | 2,174$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.52 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche | 52c | 2,146$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.93 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Stars | 23c | 2,100$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.86 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Stars | 49c | 2,072$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.55 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931e…e8e8backed Stars | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Avalanche | 53c | 2,000$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.99 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…44babacked Stars | 49c | 1,947$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2723backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,892$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc5…03fbbacked Stars | 49c | 1,705$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Avalanche | 52c | 1,700$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Stars | 48c | 1,633$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.64 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Avalanche | 51c | 1,489$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.4 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 52c | 1,349$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.08 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 48c | 1,331$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Stars | 30c | 1,327$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 51c | 1,160$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.45 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Avalanche | 52c | 1,132$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.58 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Avalanche | 52c | 1,094$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.11 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,087$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.72 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Stars | 48c | 1,030$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.96 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed Stars | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Stars | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Stars | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Avalanche | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Avalanche | 51c | 972$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.28 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 53c | 953.02$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Avalanche | 52c | 837.98$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.23 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Stars | 48c | 821.01$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.08 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Stars | 25c | 748.95$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Stars | 48c | 733.28$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.61 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Avalanche | 52c | 727.16$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.04 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stars | 46c | 717.05$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.08 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Avalanche | 53c | 705$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.35 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa325…27cabacked Avalanche | 52c | 623.83$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.44 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Stars | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Stars | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…3657backed Stars | 47c | 599.96$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Stars | 31c | 591.68$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Avalanche | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Avalanche | 52c | 555$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Avalanche | 52c | 510.51$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.97 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Avalanche | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2046…6b22backed Stars | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Stars | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Avalanche | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Avalanche | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Avalanche | 53c | 499.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Avalanche | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stars | 48c | 469.37$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Stars | 25c | 423.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Stars | 46c | 410.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…7b2bbacked Avalanche | 65c | 406.1$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Avalanche | 55c | 401.58$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Avalanche | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Avalanche | 52c | 384.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Stars | 48c | 379.75$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Avalanche | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Avalanche | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Stars | 45c | 367.91$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.56 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Avalanche | 53c | 345.66$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.27 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Avalanche | 69c | 323.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 48c | 320.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Avalanche | 58c | 319.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stars | 46c | 311.81$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Avalanche | 78c | 308.54$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 49c | 302.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.81 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Avalanche | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Avalanche | 49c | 286.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Avalanche | 52c | 286$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Stars | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche | 60c | 267.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…ba40backed Stars | 49c | 266$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Stars | 48c | 253.68$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…311fbacked Stars | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Starsthis page
- Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.