TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Mavericks, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,969,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,054,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,969,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks14c100,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.9854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Mavericks16c55,555$8,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,888.769938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Mavericks0c47,003$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mavericks6c45,814$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.4483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Mavericks34c43,031$14,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,607.8748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Suns79c39,491$31,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,262.9749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks8c39,397$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.221,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks7c37,072$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.221,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Mavericks9c30,807$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.1893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks17c24,321$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,078.921,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks13c23,512$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks13c21,419$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.462,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5845…7903backed Mavericks16c20,108$3,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,286.492015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Mavericks12c19,684$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.698035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks14c18,000$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.264,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Mavericks17c15,516$2,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.014030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Mavericks13c14,943$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.7228643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Mavericks19c14,721$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.9110747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Suns79c11,962$9,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.5916959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Mavericks13c11,560$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.5525226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Mavericks17c11,179$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.413842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Mavericks17c10,803$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.5729250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks13c10,521$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.822,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Mavericks14c10,312$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.7624937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Mavericks16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe509…4245backed Mavericks22c9,804$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.1410653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Mavericks15c9,711$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.722937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks0c9,040$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.085213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Mavericks14c8,798$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.7124942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks12c8,273$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Mavericks21c7,772$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.6620843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Mavericks17c7,762$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.0311040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks15c7,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks0c7,368$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.178820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Mavericks4c7,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Mavericks6c6,613$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1513544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Mavericks12c5,971$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.661,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Mavericks17c5,500$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93510239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks16c5,494$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.9586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Mavericks16c5,476$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.478544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks16c5,303$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.4643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Mavericks12c5,284$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.7136023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Mavericks16c5,244$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.1823742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Mavericks17c5,231$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.285740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Mavericks15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505058%29 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks6c4,851$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.631,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Mavericks15c4,804$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.664860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks14c4,720$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.8227424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Mavericks16c4,459$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.711939.5%47 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Mavericks16c4,078$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.4365939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9412…b9ebbacked Mavericks11c4,013$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.270%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Mavericks17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9720847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Mavericks14c3,878$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1613245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Mavericks18c3,803$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.5876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e2…908ebacked Mavericks18c3,759$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Mavericks14c3,619$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.611,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks12c3,615$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns79c3,418$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.673,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Mavericks6c3,393$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks18c3,146$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.43,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Mavericks18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks15c2,989$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.41,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Mavericks15c2,941$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.938429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Mavericks13c2,861$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.6818632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Mavericks9c2,705$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Mavericks14c2,572$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.530947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd50f…2b9abacked Mavericks14c2,466$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.2414733.3%49 W · 98 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Mavericks18c2,416$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9434136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5d…31b9backed Mavericks18c2,403$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.441353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Mavericks11c2,392$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.481,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aab…c4ddbacked Mavericks14c2,327$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.827839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6a…2dcfbacked Mavericks8c2,279$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Mavericks11c2,242$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0615219.7%30 W · 122 L-26.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Mavericks6c2,132$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35dc…0083backed Mavericks15c2,123$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.782152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Mavericks5c2,081$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.018923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Mavericks4c2,041$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3830157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ebf…e50fbacked Mavericks14c2,007$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.7665144.5%290 W · 361 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c2…39edbacked Mavericks13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7d…3f24backed Mavericks10c1,987$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.141681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Mavericks10c1,919$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6818941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Mavericks18c1,910$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8312850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Mavericks9c1,889$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1810447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Suns68c1,866$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59734255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x941f…58ecbacked Mavericks10c1,821$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1510924.8%27 W · 82 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Suns66c1,781$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.5743269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Mavericks5c1,761$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0529848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks9c1,760$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.121,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Mavericks1c1,750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81690%0 W · 169 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks7c1,672$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.092,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Mavericks11c1,671$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Mavericks15c1,658$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.057821.8%17 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks15c1,633$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Mavericks13c1,622$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.927418.9%14 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Mavericks12c1,531$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2259250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7763…6256backed Mavericks15c1,500$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.21618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…46cfbacked Mavericks18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Suns66c1,484$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Suns80c1,482$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.41,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Mavericks18c1,427$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.814357.3%82 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.