NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a8ca568fdcdc41b7a42b449b2c4387dd92e8f5a56d0754ef57c18d9019ec9df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Suns, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Suns | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 47c | 7,876$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Suns | 54c | 6,002$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.01 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,714$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Suns | 50c | 5,329$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.45 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Mavericks | 48c | 4,316$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.51 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 54c | 3,400$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Suns | 48c | 3,304$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.06 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Suns | 53c | 3,103$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.57 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,007$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.76 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Suns | 53c | 1,944$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.11 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,817$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks | 45c | 1,674$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Mavericks | 44c | 1,554$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.25 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,250$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.5 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Suns | 44c | 1,232$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.73 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 21c | 1,134$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.57 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Suns | 55c | 976.89$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.08 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Mavericks | 46c | 972.43$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.89 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Suns | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…e9c8backed Mavericks | 52c | 887.17$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 52c | 700.78$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 629.64$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.38 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Mavericks | 48c | 564.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.85 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 51c | 550.79$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Mavericks | 46c | 532.06$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.89 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 48c | 480.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.92 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Mavericks | 49c | 403.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.04 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Suns | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Mavericks | 51c | 349.54$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.27 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks | 48c | 348.51$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Mavericks | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Suns | 53c | 256.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mavericks | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks | 64c | 248.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Mavericks | 56c | 242.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Suns | 47c | 242.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Suns | 52c | 216.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Mavericks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Suns | 60c | 200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Mavericks | 53c | 197.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Mavericks | 53c | 191.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Mavericks | 53c | 191.59$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 189.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Suns | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks | 48c | 174.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Suns | 49c | 168.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Mavericks | 40c | 133.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 125.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 123.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 123.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 113.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Mavericks | 47c | 111.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Suns | 54c | 108.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mavericks | 70c | 103.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Suns | 53c | 101.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Suns | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Mavericks | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Mavericks | 42c | 96.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Mavericks | 43c | 95.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked Mavericks | 43c | 95.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Mavericks | 43c | 95.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Suns | 50c | 94.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Mavericks | 44c | 91.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Suns | 40c | 89.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Suns | 52c | 81.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…2fa4backed Suns | 55c | 79.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Mavericks | 46c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 77.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Suns | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -10.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Suns | 17c | 73.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Mavericks | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Suns | 41c | 66.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Mavericks | 47c | 65.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Suns | 48c | 61.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Suns | 53c | 58.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Suns | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Mavericks | 53c | 57.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Suns | 52c | 53.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Suns | 55c | 53.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 50.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Mavericks | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Suns | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Mavericks | 64c | 49.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 46c | 48.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Mavericks | 56c | 47.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Mavericks | 53c | 46.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Suns | 56c | 43.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Mavericks | 48c | 43.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Mavericks | 52c | 42.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Suns | 54c | 42.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Suns | 35c | 42.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Mavericks | 54c | 41.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Mavericks | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Mavericks | 44c | 40.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Suns | 47c | 39.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Suns | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Mavericks | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Mavericks | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mavericks | 51c | 36.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. SunsSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.