TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,066 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c17,624$7,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,627.116,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c15,295$8,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,067.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c9,594$4,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,892.891,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Over51c6,955$3,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.217852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over56c3,797$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.3429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97014953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over55c1,813$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.1530446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c1,642$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.881,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Over52c1,394$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.871850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Over50c1,321$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.022147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c1,145$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.991,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under49c999.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.989845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under51c999.96$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9853951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c994.87$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.361,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over51c970.54$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.981,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over52c961.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under71c862.5$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Over49c803.22$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.584032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under46c729.7$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.959350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over51c691.75$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.7944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c681.09$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.551,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over51c519.56$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9718343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over30c479.12$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.665738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over29c420.91$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.991,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under48c414.3$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.441,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…bac1backed Over51c373.01$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.243066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over49c350.97$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over54c307.49$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.441,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15915543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under52c295.13$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6620146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under50c266.75$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3824949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over54c262.4$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over54c262.4$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.729849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over54c262.4$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.722047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over55c258.02$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.781,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over55c258.02$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over51c246.25$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Under47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.187856.4%44 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9713148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over50c192.72$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.363756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0623445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2437647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over54c180.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over54c180.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c177.14$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.311,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over49c170.94$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5249249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c154.6$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c151.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.362,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd25…46eabacked Over8c141.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Under56c141.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0510657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c135.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c131.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5342853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c125.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c121.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over54c109.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.021,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Under72c107.95$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.937057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e1…23d9backed Over27c107$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.311421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6c…df05backed Under52c106.83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.287256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under51c101.84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8549852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under50c100.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6334247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91a…4ea7backed Over52c98.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.472231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.533949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5344347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over48c90.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over54c90.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6153348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over54c90.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6157051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under49c89.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7511143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9818054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under46c76.76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6315353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over51c76.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8236852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8614444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over50c69.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2739448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c65.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.582,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over52c53.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0217350.3%87 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over51c53.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1910046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over56c52.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2123549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…7197backed Over53c48.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.751942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2527945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2732450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c01…59a0backed Over51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.275947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12dc…1100backed Over51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.272842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over51c47.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1531953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c44.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Under51c42.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.936437.5%24 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f74…4adabacked Under49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1810850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under65c37.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.122,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4515651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Over51c34.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9115855.7%88 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over50c34.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under47c32.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4538736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e1…da1ebacked Under51c31.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.621376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under67c30.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0340750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5421649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x386b…7d22backed Under50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5637853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Over52c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.576950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.