NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7692f260c40535bc5c2abcd99d3b23641f38e48ed130a46ee3a4d1d2005bff7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Mavericks, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Mavericks | 21c | 379.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…469fbacked Suns | 79c | 374.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…0083backed Mavericks | 27c | 350.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 70c | 265.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Mavericks | 42c | 115.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Suns | 68c | 103$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Suns | 78c | 93.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks | 23c | 83.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…6d7abacked Mavericks | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Suns | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Mavericks | 36c | 55.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Suns | 64c | 30.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Suns | 64c | 28.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Suns | 78c | 28.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. SunsSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.