TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c29,820$15,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,110.651,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Over51c21,959$11,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.153447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c17,840$8,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,150.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c16,886$8,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,728.371,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c15,883$7,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,988.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over52c5,993$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.632351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over52c3,885$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.179549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c3,101$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.512,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9912450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over51c2,718$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.51,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over5c2,411$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c1,923$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.7270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c1,090$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under48c978.57$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.6919745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c973.88$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.941,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c937$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.731,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Under50c919.58$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.7910046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over18c911.08$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over51c852.67$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Under49c800$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4115650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c782.75$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.261,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c720.3$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.3495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over20c600.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.21,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30649345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c573.48$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.611,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c549.7$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.952,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c492.12$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.083,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under49c484.7$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.242348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over54c453.55$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.941,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7d…3f24backed Under50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1941681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c335.68$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.631,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under70c332.92$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under49c324.67$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5812857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over30c311.26$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4311639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c273.41$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.731,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over51c245.64$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2133251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under49c220.02$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0915353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c220.01$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c197.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.92748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c195.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9711759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9718552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.063941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over45c183.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c180.94$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.321,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050d…d5b0backed Over56c172.12$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.397550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over51c161.77$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.538453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over53c128.17$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2131345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over50c119.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5734247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under50c117.33$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.674238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Over51c109.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5115855.7%88 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over52c109.58$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Under49c108.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4912149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over51c103.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.859545.3%43 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2224151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4718850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Over51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.983732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.59844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c74.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.231,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under49c72.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0939448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over18c68.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0846255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9381…5888backed Under50c64.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over52c64.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0522454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.271,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over52c57.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1418444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7cb…4789backed Over52c57.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.132045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Over52c57.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1316653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.127350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e9…f91bbacked Over51c56.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over51c54.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.929454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under72c52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5617553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over28c49.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under50c49.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6245251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2511850.8%60 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa59f…2e59backed Over52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.281811.1%2 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-79.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under55c44.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.94841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x191b…824abacked Under49c39.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.145253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa280…079dbacked Over51c36.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over33c34.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.351,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Over51c32.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5915053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa796…95f9backed Under50c31.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.522147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Under49c29.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.887149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5521649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over51c24.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7511455.3%63 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over51c24.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3223549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Under50c23.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6418548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under50c22.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3815459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe055…2d8abacked Over51c22.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1c…231fbacked Over52c22.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.675251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1136154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.