NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4515b8919cacdfef5e1144c608a8ec2ebe311e9d477010edaa0af7c8bc1d6696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Suns, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks | 49c | 47,767$23,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,236.8 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 51c | 19,703$10,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,013.74 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Suns | 50c | 11,640$5,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 49c | 11,018$5,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.14 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Suns | 51c | 9,535$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.68 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Mavericks | 51c | 8,531$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180.13 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Suns | 51c | 6,794$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.04 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 49c | 4,966$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Mavericks | 53c | 4,928$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.21 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,604$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 49c | 2,826$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.66 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mavericks | 53c | 2,622$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.07 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.88 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,697$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.07 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Mavericks | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.98 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Mavericks | 52c | 983.9$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.27 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Suns | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Mavericks | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.44 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Suns | 50c | 614.5$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.25 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Suns | 50c | 614.5$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.25 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Suns | 50c | 614.5$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.25 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Suns | 50c | 607.01$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.51 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Suns | 50c | 607.01$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.51 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Mavericks | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…c9b5backed Mavericks | 53c | 550.45$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.91 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Mavericks | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 464.59$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 358$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5c…a045backed Mavericks | 51c | 357.37$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Mavericks | 56c | 321.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Suns | 48c | 303.63$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Mavericks | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Suns | 49c | 264.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Mavericks | 51c | 263.49$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.11 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Mavericks | 49c | 257.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…b295backed Suns | 51c | 246.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Mavericks | 51c | 223.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Suns | 51c | 223.31$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Suns | 49c | 223$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Suns | 51c | 209.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Suns | 50c | 205.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Suns | 50c | 205.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Suns | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Mavericks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Mavericks | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Suns | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Mavericks | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Suns | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Suns | 50c | 186.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Mavericks | 50c | 172.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Mavericks | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Suns | 51c | 168.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Mavericks | 49c | 166.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 47c | 158.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5e…f08abacked Mavericks | 58c | 155$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Suns | 51c | 147.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Suns | 48c | 142.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Mavericks | 51c | 125.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Suns | 49c | 117.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Mavericks | 30c | 107.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mavericks | 50c | 102.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks | 50c | 97.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Suns | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Suns | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Suns | 39c | 95.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Suns | 51c | 95.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Suns | 51c | 95.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Suns | 51c | 93.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 69c | 92.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Suns | 50c | 89.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Suns | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Mavericks | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Suns | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Suns | 48c | 63.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Suns | 47c | 61.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf793…6265backed Mavericks | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Suns | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Mavericks | 52c | 57.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Suns | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Suns | 51c | 51.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Suns | 50c | 51.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…237dbacked Mavericks | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 162 | 30.9%50 W · 112 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Suns | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Suns | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Suns | 54c | 48.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Suns | 70c | 47.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Mavericks | 63c | 46.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Mavericks | 51c | 44.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Suns | 51c | 40.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Suns | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Suns | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Suns | 49c | 39.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Suns | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. SunsSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.