NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x702f64018f561e73f61633629dbc576eb489d605255e73ce56afd4cd513df619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 122,135$54,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,395.53 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 18,600$10,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,195.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 56c | 15,848$8,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,810.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 56c | 12,413$6,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,951.07 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 11,943$6,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,056.22 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…4ad4backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 9,551$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.75 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 7,842$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,314.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 25c | 7,793$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.13 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 53c | 6,096$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.14 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 55c | 5,683$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.08 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 4,925$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 4,597$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.58 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 4,594$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.2 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 4,594$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.2 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 55c | 4,594$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.2 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe950…1e0abacked Under | 50c | 4,388$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 51c | 3,533$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.82 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 19c | 3,057$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.58 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 2,845$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 55c | 2,690$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.31 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 49c | 2,505$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.53 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…b09dbacked Under | 79c | 2,368$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 1,778$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 49c | 1,666$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.65 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 72c | 1,624$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.74 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…8463backed Under | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 1,383$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.83 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 45c | 1,292$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.62 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 55c | 1,265$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.7 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 67c | 1,096$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.7 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 20c | 1,079$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 1,071$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.74 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…e9c8backed Over | 50c | 1,028$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 25c | 1,011$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Under | 49c | 968.32$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 932.15$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.26 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 885.43$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.99 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 55c | 868.3$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.88 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 55c | 707.62$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.19 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 605.42$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.98 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Over | 49c | 557.73$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 528.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.09 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 56c | 519.7$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.11 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 54c | 433.81$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 55c | 429.21$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.87 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 54c | 423.9$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.14 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Under | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 55c | 413.64$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 404.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7d…3f24backed Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 12c | 394.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 48c | 393.04$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 56c | 381.08$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 55c | 357.42$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 357.04$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 55c | 350.28$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 71c | 338.2$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 335.72$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 324.28$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 50c | 307.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.61 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 45c | 297.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6e…3e8ebacked Under | 51c | 296.03$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d2…da69backed Over | 51c | 294.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 46c | 290.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 25c | 278.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 55c | 259.79$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Under | 78c | 254.38$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…665bbacked Over | 41c | 250.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…fe2dbacked Over | 51c | 247.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a1…fac6backed Under | 50c | 242.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 54c | 224.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 54c | 224.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 54c | 224.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 55c | 223.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 57c | 222.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 57c | 222.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 57c | 222.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 49c | 220.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Under | 48c | 216.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 54c | 212.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 46c | 201.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 53c | 198.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. SunsSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.