TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b0e…3a70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT15053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.71
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$17.11
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.37
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.74
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.03
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.74
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.2
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.58
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.03
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.72
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+79%+$15.91
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.46
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$24.32
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$8.62
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$25.26
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$9.52
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.43
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$13.34
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.23
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.65
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+287.9%+$53.18
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.65
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.19
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.39
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.62
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$19.79
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.74
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.96
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.13
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.43
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.58
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.