TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd202…8973backed Yes31c36,806$11,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,409.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No69c16,728$11,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,185.683548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No69c15,800$10,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8984341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes32c15,196$4,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,815.787935.4%28 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No71c12,250$8,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,552.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No69c9,913$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.161540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes30c9,645$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.8275142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked No70c6,822$4,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No70c6,822$4,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.638547.1%40 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c4,855$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.811,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No70c4,532$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.1321355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Yes31c2,979$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.54540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c2,637$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.7769851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes28c2,392$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.76825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No69c2,297$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.716755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes31c2,287$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.827254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes13c2,108$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.1864043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5604757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No69c1,878$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes30c1,850$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.311618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505870.7%41 W · 17 L+10.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c1,356$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.932,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes31c1,348$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c1,331$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.3129855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes29c1,180$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1218644.1%82 W · 104 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28011644.8%52 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c818.75$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.021,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No74c815.46$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.023941%16 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked No69c810.72$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Yes27c779.13$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-80.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes22c699.97$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.997646.1%35 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed No72c682.78$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.185160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes28c666.34$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.58119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-76.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes4c619.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8614315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes29c612.86$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7317247.1%81 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c608.85$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.673,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No76c582.21$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.289354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes30c576.64$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.991,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c508.92$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5343532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No68c490.4$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.939549.5%47 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d54…32b5backed Yes29c489.71$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.740%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12023046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No70c399.98$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.993743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No70c396.51$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.986457.8%37 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…d27fbacked Yes28c394.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1e…f62bbacked Yes31c386.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.83825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a5f…dc31backed No73c381.39$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.98666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked No70c363.63$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.091338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c333.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.156951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb97…9febbacked Yes31c316.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964619.6%9 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No72c298.38$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.567361.6%45 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfece…ef64backed Yes29c297.12$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.173826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No70c281.6$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.486453.1%34 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes14c250.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7114726.5%39 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5829…fa37backed No73c219.39$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No73c215.45$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.177443.2%32 W · 42 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes26c192.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5811843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes10c192.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.431250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes29c184.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b0babacked No73c180.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No78c174.85$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7555058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…6ca1backed Yes34c172.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No71c172.67$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2311956.3%67 W · 52 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes27c172.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.47616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.87333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.87333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No76c162.38$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.059476.6%72 W · 22 L+16.8wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes31c161.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.188532.9%28 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Yes31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No70c153.94$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.183658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.549647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No72c149.96$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.998756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d4…1f9cbacked Yes32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.167268.1%49 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes31c142.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.699721.6%21 W · 76 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No70c141.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.429838.8%38 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes34c141.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.022045%9 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee13…8bc5backed Yes15c140.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd2…2f38backed Yes28c140.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No72c126.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.034845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No73c120$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.720645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.416343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd027…cc86backed Yes34c112.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes25c110.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.710532.4%34 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xffe5…5a7dbacked Yes27c109.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes16c104$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.912035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Yes27c100.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.07837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3112843%55 W · 73 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2828755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821450%107 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.981,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes28c99.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.752927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes28c98.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5914652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes34c96.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.651952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.