TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe87…6fc0backed No68c24,476$16,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,757.093756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c16,371$12,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,092.6416647%78 W · 88 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes25c15,166$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.517935.4%28 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c5,364$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.442,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes30c2,127$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.081,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c1,810$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.883,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25029855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes30c994.68$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7775142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No76c878.2$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.775168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c837.16$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.059354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No80c767.29$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1611356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes25c764$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.724030%12 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c504.01$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9269851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes24c495.15$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8422047.3%104 W · 116 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.86030%18 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c471.37$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9843532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64c…e605backed Yes21c453.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.26742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c391.3$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.761,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes25c382$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked Yes34c325.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No69c318$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.12035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…04fbbacked Yes4c311.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.33520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No78c270.13$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.979476.6%72 W · 22 L+16.8wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes19c252.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.972619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes39c246.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes18c207.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7417247.1%81 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387646.1%35 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No76c195.34$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.534062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes24c194.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.771526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes22c190.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9410251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes30c183.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566665.2%43 W · 23 L+12.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes34c169.48$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.626940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked No67c159.67$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.695267.3%35 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c144.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0133945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c143.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.351,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf16…b409backed Yes30c140.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.131450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes24c132.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7356951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked No80c110.34$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes31c108.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.555246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No69c103.87$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.214315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246457.8%37 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc285…d26ebacked Yes25c98.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6636…6f29backed Yes25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed Yes32c89.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.781952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes30c84.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4720845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No61c80.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d9f7backed Yes16c79.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8180%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes30c76.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7620645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed Yes30c75.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.113228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c72.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6364043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…e42abacked Yes36c61.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Yes23c60.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.842941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes32c59.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.181533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes41c58.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.122035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No67c56.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4639857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes31c53.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes31c53.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.514845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No63c52.64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5940744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No64c49.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.827554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes25c49.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.426050%30 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes26c48.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3914756.5%83 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcd…d377backed Yes42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Yes29c45.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.977365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes24c44.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7621355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes24c44.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7618644.1%82 W · 104 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6f0…3c7bbacked Yes35c41.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Yes31c40.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.494951%25 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No76c39.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4511956.3%67 W · 52 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed No69c38.31$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.061723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-65.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c37.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2349143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No71c34.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1049647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No69c34.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.763644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1418554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1415048%72 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1417749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.147751.9%40 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1417852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.142737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.146842.6%29 W · 39 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1411049.1%54 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1412346.3%57 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.146453.1%34 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1420548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1410647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.145149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.148251.2%42 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.144744.7%21 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf92f…dc7cbacked Yes39c26.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No77c16.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.797265.3%47 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.