Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf88c7490aab35a42fac78fc57d33b51494b13956c86ce4f9b64e87089c61f1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,074,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,100,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,074,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2eb1…4ea4backed No | 58c | 1,396,684$805,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805,142.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 42c | 1,240,177$525,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714,358.02 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…f076backed Yes | 45c | 157,140$70,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,605.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed No | 54c | 76,480$41,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,092.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 64c | 27,409$17,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,769.42 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 19,231$8,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,934.85 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 17,258$7,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,048.47 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 42c | 15,249$6,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,795.91 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 15,106$8,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,281.72 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 39c | 12,469$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,653.15 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 56c | 12,344$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 51c | 12,118$6,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,943.89 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Yes | 45c | 10,050$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Yes | 39c | 8,624$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 8,049$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.38 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 7,483$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 7,235$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 40c | 6,519$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.96 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 6,249$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked Yes | 42c | 5,912$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 42c | 5,463$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.29 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 44c | 5,368$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.03 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 47c | 5,351$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.7 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Yes | 37c | 4,773$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 4,186$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.68 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 44c | 4,161$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.89 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 1c | 3,901$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 52c | 3,885$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 43c | 3,832$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.1 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed No | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Yes | 41c | 3,510$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 35c | 3,392$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.46 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 49c | 2,992$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,991$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.9 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 42c | 2,434$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.86 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes | 42c | 2,292$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 53c | 2,262$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.86 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 43c | 2,246$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 48c | 2,238$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.57 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 2,106$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.49 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Yes | 37c | 2,065$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.93 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 50c | 1,916$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.77 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked No | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 50c | 1,845$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.32 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 56c | 1,601$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.92 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,543$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.22 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 1,543$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.22 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 64c | 1,537$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.35 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 55c | 1,511$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.83 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.1 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b2…94b8backed Yes | 48c | 1,414$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 43c | 1,383$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.54 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,337$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 72c | 1,285$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.63 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Yes | 44c | 1,253$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 44c | 1,246$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…2d32backed Yes | 36c | 1,229$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…44fbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,221$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 55c | 1,201$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.92 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 55c | 1,198$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.95 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 51c | 1,143$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 45c | 1,137$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 63c | 1,108$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.79 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…de49backed Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…8ba3backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 44c | 985.73$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.01 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.15 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Yes | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Yes | 41c | 964.6$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 36c | 960.83$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.11 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked No | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 50c | 918.4$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.28 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 55c | 909.1$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 50c | 897.23$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 857.87$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.88 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 43c | 857.4$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.33 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.