TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb272…ee5a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT14822.3%33 W · 115 L-14.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Naomi Osakabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.31
Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.92
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Madrid Open: Mariano Navone vs Alexander Zverevbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.34
Madrid Open: Iga Swiatek vs Ann Libacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.2
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Gaubas (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$205.1
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)backed Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.97
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)backed Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+118%+$410.23
Savannah: Mitchell Krueger vs Daniel Galanbacked Mitchell Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.69
Abidjan: Maxime Chazal vs Karim Bennanibacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.7
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.74
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.24
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$514.77
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.77
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+237.3%+$298.64
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Antoine Ghibaudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.12
Shymkent: Andrej Nedic vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$280.76
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.75
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.39
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Libacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.01
Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Gaubas (+1.5)backed Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.18
Set Handicap: Navone (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)backed Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$256.05
Madrid Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,380.15
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+274.1%+$906.82
Shymkent: Dali Blanch vs Andrej Nedicbacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,413.18
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick28cpaid+75.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,819Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+360.1%+$20,950.75
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,693.37
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.14
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.38
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,504.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+169.6%+$10,905.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,894Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$3,059.89
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$6,820.4
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,677.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.87
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,557Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$4,911.69
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.93
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+351.2%+$3,755.39
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)backed SC Braga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.24
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,181.77
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.69
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.