Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3308b969ec7f666558118a01d76142d03a66abbe711d85f3decdab749e74e400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Freiburgof FC Bayern München, SC Freiburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed SC Freiburg | 56c | 23,812$13,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,477.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 19,101$6,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,856.62 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SC Freiburg | 64c | 16,028$10,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,741.43 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SC Freiburg | 68c | 4,743$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.47 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked SC Freiburg | 54c | 3,602$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 3,569$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.23 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…22a6backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 3,420$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked FC Bayern München | 27c | 1,771$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 1,596$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.49 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 1,309$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.96 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed SC Freiburg | 54c | 1,206$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 1,123$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 1,096$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.44 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed SC Freiburg | 56c | 1,052$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.31 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked SC Freiburg | 63c | 1,031$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.81 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 1,014$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SC Freiburg | 57c | 897.24$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.81 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 878.55$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked FC Bayern München | 11c | 860.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed SC Freiburg | 57c | 857.46$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.42 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 854.81$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.37 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed SC Freiburg | 63c | 815.89$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.88 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 797.59$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.81 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 773.12$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.17 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 758.43$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 556.92$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.27 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 548.76$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.63 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed SC Freiburg | 63c | 536.77$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.44 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 494.18$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.44 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 455.17$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 446.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed SC Freiburg | 58c | 430.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked SC Freiburg | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked FC Bayern München | 38c | 420$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 420$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 373.84$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 349.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 337.4$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked FC Bayern München | 37c | 316.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked FC Bayern München | 38c | 305.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0817backed FC Bayern München | 26c | 285.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked FC Bayern München | 37c | 267.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 258.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…38c9backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 256.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…e25cbacked FC Bayern München | 38c | 255.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 252.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 237.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 228.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 210.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked FC Bayern München | 37c | 206.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked FC Bayern München | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked FC Bayern München | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 197.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked SC Freiburg | 63c | 194.43$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 192.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 179.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 167.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 162.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 153.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 149.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 146.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked SC Freiburg | 53c | 145.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SC Freiburg | 78c | 143.92$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SC Freiburg | 78c | 143.92$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 142.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed SC Freiburg | 65c | 136.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 135.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FC Bayern München | 13c | 133.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 133.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Bayern München | 25c | 127.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 123$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed SC Freiburg | 60c | 121.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 114.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…46d6backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 105.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked SC Freiburg | 62c | 102.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f26…b8ccbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SC Freiburg | 59c | 99.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed SC Freiburg | 65c | 96.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 90.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 88.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.