Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9df45013190df5c1aca1df6f4ddd6ec9e73cc1d38bec04a36bd9d53da88c9625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 10,951$5,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.76 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 10,220$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Under | 65c | 10,118$6,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,601.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 43c | 9,130$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.65 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 4,718$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 63c | 4,391$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 67c | 3,844$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.34 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 3,731$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.48 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 31c | 3,618$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.76 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 51c | 3,366$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 64c | 2,949$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 2,771$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.2 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 2,514$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.1 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 66c | 2,253$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.05 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 53c | 2,212$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 44c | 2,187$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +326.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 62c | 1,916$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.21 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,356$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.24 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 53c | 1,215$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.93 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 1,127$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.15 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.07 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 45c | 1,064$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 55c | 1,011$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.43 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 917.28$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.19 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 58c | 897.56$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.35 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 43c | 887.86$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.52 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 45c | 886.26$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.82 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693e…1e67backed Over | 70c | 838.96$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 60c | 804.88$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.11 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 69c | 749.98$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.49 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 70c | 701.43$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 660.52$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.31 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 652.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.22 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 68c | 649.06$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 574.61$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.19 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 34c | 542.43$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.01 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 55c | 497.2$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Over | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 476.23$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.92 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 45c | 470$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 469.91$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.95 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 66c | 445.27$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Under | 44c | 442.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 48c | 411.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 30c | 401.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 67c | 392.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 382.19$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 63c | 380$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 64c | 313.66$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Over | 66c | 293.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 61c | 292.3$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 59c | 285.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 59c | 285.88$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 34c | 285.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 52c | 275.17$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 70c | 271.34$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 51c | 266.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 30c | 265.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 65c | 263.22$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 68c | 259.18$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 42c | 254.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 62c | 221.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Under | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 35c | 204.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 34c | 204.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 199.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 192.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 51c | 192.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 60c | 189.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 34c | 186.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4b…52c0backed Over | 69c | 185$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 34c | 180.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 176.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 69c | 176.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 34c | 175.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Under | 40c | 173.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Over | 41c | 159.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 159.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…bf77backed Over | 68c | 151.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Over | 33c | 148.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +116%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.