Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef22eeaec98b3f8471c1733b95a407b28b168833e47b59bb55f9a0967ddcb7b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 12,766$5,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,943.24 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 55c | 8,084$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 5,950$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.06 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 46c | 2,695$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 59c | 2,497$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.92 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 41c | 989.58$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.94 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed No | 39c | 981.59$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed No | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 55c | 638.82$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.47 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…d622backed No | 25c | 634.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 61c | 560.34$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.53 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 45c | 547.91$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.47 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 61c | 538.78$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed No | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 59c | 493.31$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 476.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Yes | 63c | 465.22$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 51c | 441.53$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 437.03$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.65 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 39c | 380.35$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 69c | 378.11$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 374.92$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.71 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 359.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 34c | 348.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 62c | 347.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Yes | 65c | 333.87$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 56c | 292.2$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 62c | 261.59$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…755ebacked Yes | 78c | 257.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…9aa5backed No | 23c | 243.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 49c | 241.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 49c | 241.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…bc24backed Yes | 61c | 240.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 49c | 236.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 44c | 213.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 39c | 202$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 73c | 201.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 64c | 188.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 39c | 172.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 37c | 169.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Yes | 60c | 162.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 54c | 161.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 33c | 160.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 61c | 112.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 66c | 99.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…2b86backed Yes | 64c | 98.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed No | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 28c | 81.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 79.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 68c | 70.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 40c | 70.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 60c | 66.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Yes | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes | 61c | 65.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Yes | 63c | 62.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 37c | 61.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 26c | 61.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 33c | 59.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…5c05backed Yes | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Yes | 60c | 58.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 71c | 53.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed No | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Yes | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…ffc7backed No | 38c | 49.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…54e2backed Yes | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 62c | 48.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 49c | 44.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…3269backed Yes | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 49c | 39.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…f9b9backed Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +325.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed No | 62c | 35.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed No | 39c | 34.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 57c | 32.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.