TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe532…f9b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$956.67
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+449.7%+$1,124.27
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$43.34
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.29
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+30.7%+$3.69
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Galatasaray vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.36
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.31
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+51.6%+$66.59
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+325.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$292.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$433.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.3%+$11.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+36.4%+$5.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.