TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No65c29,756$19,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,446.532,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c20,297$7,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,129.398,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked No33c4,271$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes74c3,280$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.47757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c2,834$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.251,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No66c2,833$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.7175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes49c2,622$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.567950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c2,337$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.435,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c1,888$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.022,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes31c1,682$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.5599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes75c1,328$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No36c1,250$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.369122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c1,229$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.751,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No48c1,118$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.2625635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes35c1,018$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.2595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes35c1,014$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.6460156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes31c999.99$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.8312338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes36c998.06$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.6733152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No33c986$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.3823733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes43c982.48$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.1330048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c973.52$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.11,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe532…f9b9backed Yes31c905.79$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No60c684$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.383920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes50c675.06$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3350643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes36c670.06$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes35c650.65$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.671,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Yes54c648.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.155457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No63c601.42$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3257540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes63c592.56$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1735046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No76c558.84$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8764633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No62c529.58$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.916641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Yes39c516.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.581741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f0…c32dbacked Yes78c512.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23510364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes35c446.95$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1250656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Yes24c411.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.293438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No49c402.92$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0848547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c395.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.71,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes69c393.93$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6635240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes38c387.93$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6972058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No55c329.1$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.121,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No78c314.42$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.612665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes31c310.42$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5449535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes30c297.66$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Yes36c285.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7315364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No48c221.71$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes38c213.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.38937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes28c212.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.721044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11423044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Yes36c197.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.878760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes20c188.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.496540%26 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Yes36c186.64$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.216768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No77c178.08$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.122,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd7…d93bbacked No69c165.42$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.141154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc22…9c09backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.29560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes33c157.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.83,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.251346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked No51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.53638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No35c149.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No64c148.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5118446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x733c…521bbacked Yes37c140.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.052759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes22c136.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.522,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes40c134.05$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes26c116.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.91338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick21cpaid+79.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No60c114.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4630847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Yes21c104$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.163327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes27c102.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.72633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No80c101$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.738233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No68c99.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.789244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes20c97.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.614658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Yes52c96.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.354656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…68f9backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+132.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c94.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.741,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No63c92.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fd…2688backed Yes28c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes31c85.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.761,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes32c85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No14c82.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.69026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Yes31c74.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.862626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes40c73.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6733365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No62c72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.419150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.432441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes42c61.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2426465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes21c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.29051.1%46 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed Yes32c55.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.656256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Yes20c55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.745952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc35f…4472backed Yes22c54.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb886…893abacked No68c52.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.08988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No78c52.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3115554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2363…12b2backed Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+124.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No25c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.616845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes54c44.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.691,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No55c44.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.421,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.97244.2%1 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.23per pick27cpaid-93.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2cdb…bc1fbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+80.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9207…d26ebacked Yes51c39.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes46c39.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.