TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No57c33,844$19,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,428.488,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes57c24,774$14,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,107.5123733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No58c23,381$13,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,930.7220036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes61c10,862$6,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,620.2249136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No52c9,906$5,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,724.9829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes51c9,783$4,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,967.3851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes50c9,269$4,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,603.5848547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c8,178$4,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700.645,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No40c8,100$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,828.943171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes50c7,677$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,835.0750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No50c7,391$3,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,715.0821538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes50c7,260$3,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648.1335046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No38c6,460$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,005.415358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes35c6,328$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.6634747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No46c5,636$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.2875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No40c4,548$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.861,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes60c4,464$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.062,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No61c4,069$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.043,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes48c3,507$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.511,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No51c3,422$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.0630048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No67c3,024$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.053557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No39c3,024$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.961,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes49c3,010$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.782,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes31c2,990$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.869122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No39c2,945$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.461,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No48c2,926$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.5631349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes46c2,720$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.23920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes51c2,684$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.0812646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No54c2,677$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.323254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Yes34c2,659$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.041346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No64c2,591$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.771,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked No40c2,473$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No55c2,328$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.065957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes39c2,199$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.3525635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked No62c2,123$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.073148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked No59c2,061$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No41c2,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1901258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No40c1,881$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.596350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No42c1,762$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.92948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No57c1,557$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0933152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No39c1,501$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.2312737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No40c1,428$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.332,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes60c1,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No41c1,301$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.461,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No60c1,283$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.3660156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No60c1,256$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.7895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No41c1,250$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.751,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No41c1,232$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.181,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes32c1,200$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38712338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No55c1,154$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7611143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes32c1,097$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.155048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e03…040fbacked No59c1,031$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb93…e1d3backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No55c932.56$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.9312340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe77…ef6cbacked Yes59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No59c809.09$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.753759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes60c737$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.8538233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed No68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.29875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No58c717.7$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes48c677.2$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.1123044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No60c675.7$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3617051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No56c673.1$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.6446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes64c669.67$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.591827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes50c604.12$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3930847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No55c596.07$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes61c569.9$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No58c529.58$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1716641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes43c516.95$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3618446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No40c510.75$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3625955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed No36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No60c481.58$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Yes40c481.38$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.551637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No78c446.66$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6635240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes49c444.55$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.839149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked No59c432.98$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.471866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes49c411.76$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7619953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked No61c407.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.972975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed No59c363.24$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed No59c340.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6715364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes28c330$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes24c324.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3142946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes62c324.14$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.963,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No40c314.4$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.012665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes43c303.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8489645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes34c302.77$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2957540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Yes41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes26c299.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7718631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes44c298.96$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0435246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed No58c296.58$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.918760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No41c290.55$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.428855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5249backed Yes60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes43c246$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.113638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes33c239.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.681,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes49c223.47$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.529047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.