South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e378c7919cfe40bd208e7cf1b148869ae33acc504ceef48923eb8242d6bbb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 64c | 9,986$6,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 39c | 1,593$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 1,532$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 61c | 1,382$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb848…6431backed No | 60c | 1,245$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68f…f354backed Yes | 40c | 1,245$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 61c | 822.51$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.54 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 816.2$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c3…8f47backed Yes | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…fb2dbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…8230backed No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Yes | 40c | 431.58$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 60c | 333$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 241$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 32c | 220.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…f9b9backed Yes | 39c | 195.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 191.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…0cacbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.