TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brazilof Brazil, Haiti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,571,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,998,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,571,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 629 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Haiti21c395,831$81,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,413.854,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Brazil74c330,000$244,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,006.792661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Haiti26c116,889$30,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,710.993,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Brazil70c74,009$51,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,102.272,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Haiti27c62,822$17,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,145.481,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Haiti27c46,456$12,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,684.2251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Haiti25c45,663$11,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,415.9421836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Brazil74c41,555$30,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,011.741,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Brazil74c41,150$30,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,560.0565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Haiti27c40,995$10,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,966.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Brazil74c22,776$16,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,921.8716957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Brazil74c14,652$10,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,855.12,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Haiti26c12,500$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.9819038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Haiti30c12,407$3,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,702.312,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Haiti26c11,932$3,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.314139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Haiti1c11,561$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.254,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Haiti26c10,306$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.71,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Haiti26c10,267$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.111,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Brazil74c10,000$7,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,62415150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Brazil74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.0635446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Brazil74c9,742$7,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Haiti26c8,922$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.511,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Brazil73c7,066$5,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.9229646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Brazil75c6,510$4,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.328951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Haiti25c6,411$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.861,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Brazil74c6,366$4,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.6313454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Haiti27c6,300$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.994746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Haiti1c6,040$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Haiti25c6,031$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.6683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Brazil73c6,000$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9929250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Brazil74c5,634$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.925080%40 W · 10 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+12.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Haiti26c5,591$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.271,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Haiti23c5,303$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.134,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Brazil73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Haiti26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Haiti26c4,750$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.1952744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Brazil74c4,747$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.442,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…9133backed Brazil74c4,052$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.643154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6094…d510backed Brazil73c3,899$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.669045.6%41 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87db…9cfebacked Brazil73c3,732$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Brazil73c3,676$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.57962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Haiti27c3,566$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.4658029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Brazil77c3,250$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74518465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Haiti26c3,184$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.412,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Brazil74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7806129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Brazil74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78014463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Haiti22c2,957$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.378838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Brazil68c2,949$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.674143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Haiti25c2,800$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Brazil74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.730465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Brazil74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.720262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Brazil76c2,627$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.5815453.9%83 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Haiti25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62585851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Haiti28c2,490$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.9974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Brazil69c2,400$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75019850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x806e…2e52backed Brazil73c2,201$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.099254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Brazil65c2,185$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.641,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Brazil73c2,033$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.9165737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Brazil73c2,028$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.5663035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40bf…8bdcbacked Brazil74c2,001$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.291861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Brazil73c1,982$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.4817540.6%71 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Haiti26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.982,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Brazil74c1,923$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9817948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Haiti3c1,802$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5743230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Haiti4c1,802$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.076624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68b4…e777backed Brazil73c1,791$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.461560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Brazil74c1,622$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.624447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Haiti21c1,600$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.992,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Brazil77c1,562$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.6112036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e07…6a8ebacked Brazil73c1,540$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.81090%9 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick64cpaid+49%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Haiti24c1,523$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Brazil66c1,517$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.57448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Brazil66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1510634%36 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4520…9182backed Brazil66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1515146.4%70 W · 81 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Haiti25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37535424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0cb…66f7backed Brazil73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-50.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Brazil73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.998032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Haiti25c1,482$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.5671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Haiti34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Brazil72c1,432$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.9116647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Brazil74c1,411$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Brazil65c1,403$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.278143.2%35 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Brazil73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.992532%8 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf9…33ebbacked Brazil73c1,357$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.312055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Brazil74c1,355$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.695558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Brazil74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3519938.2%76 W · 123 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Brazil68c1,311$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.698134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Haiti25c1,282$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5779149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed Haiti28c1,271$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.873545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Brazil73c1,244$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.4421946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked Brazil72c1,206$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.583732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Haiti27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Haiti27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Brazil73c1,100$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.4337451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f4…200ebacked Brazil74c1,081$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0812043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Brazil75c1,069$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.89456.4%53 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39ac…3422backed Brazil75c1,029$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Brazil72c1,016$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4728545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Brazil73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Brazil66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3403836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.