TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,209,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,207,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,209,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c155,396$92,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,048.084,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over35c142,915$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over36c75,726$26,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,972.9749441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over49c58,232$28,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,711.2324533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c31,382$21,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,532.183,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over43c29,854$12,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,925.5977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under67c29,000$19,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,439.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under45c25,475$11,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,955.9342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over32c20,484$6,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,505.691,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over58c18,153$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,60065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over32c15,000$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,845.2714045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under65c14,613$9,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,046.254,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over25c14,435$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.0234845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under68c12,000$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.994040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over44c11,719$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.681,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over39c9,948$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,873.462,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d2…8b96backed Over34c9,535$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.89540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under64c9,455$6,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.921,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c8,704$5,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under67c8,500$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under68c7,835$5,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.2632031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under54c7,279$3,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,335.4136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under62c7,117$4,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.8733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over21c6,638$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.5932422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over45c5,960$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under65c5,910$3,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.4274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over35c5,747$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under67c5,446$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.982,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under54c5,429$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.1539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under57c5,260$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.5311149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over60c5,012$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.4225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Under64c5,003$3,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.2212655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under56c5,000$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under65c4,736$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.618850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over17c4,691$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.3551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c4,644$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.962,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under44c4,595$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.0143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Over33c4,545$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under68c4,145$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.532,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under51c4,038$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.951,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under66c3,690$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.459752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under65c3,680$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28826454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over45c3,579$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.9139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Over35c3,543$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2408640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under71c3,521$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.1320262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under65c3,500$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22538351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over35c3,484$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.152,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under60c3,424$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.3718543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over36c3,213$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.0831545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over44c3,183$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.391,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Over37c3,131$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.8917732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over34c3,108$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.341,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under66c3,000$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over31c2,993$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.1198134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under65c2,987$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.6671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under69c2,976$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.6629646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over34c2,823$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9358029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over34c2,738$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.0459230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over46c2,700$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.9236234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under40c2,689$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.712,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over66c2,652$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75012250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under66c2,648$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.4948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x013b…6e3bbacked Over31c2,625$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over32c2,622$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.511,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under43c2,449$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.7344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under67c2,400$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80444144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over32c2,272$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.1888838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over17c2,165$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.2834924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under46c2,120$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14713448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under61c2,102$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.7618548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c1,960$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over25c1,940$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48528526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under66c1,895$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.422,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.9422450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under47c1,850$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.975335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over51c1,804$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.765925.4%15 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over28c1,777$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6243826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under67c1,749$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.6252744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over47c1,701$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.8627032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over24c1,700$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40831152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over26c1,699$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.845330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over29c1,635$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.4834964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xf1cf…f870backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6307…a346backed Over46c1,522$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Under66c1,519$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.834445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8edc…552bbacked Over45c1,503$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.481963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.