TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$553,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$688,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,764 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c58,705$31,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,935.373,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c49,999$26,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,755.772,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over50c40,217$20,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,004.624,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over46c32,626$14,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,630.564456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over40c29,769$11,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,917.5224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c24,736$11,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,951.113,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c18,993$9,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,116.8237959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c14,262$7,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,435.442,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c11,746$5,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,503.0574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under48c10,500$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over51c10,145$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,995.0715843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c9,500$4,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.9586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c9,471$5,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,527.554,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under33c9,002$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.236437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under49c8,942$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,381.3964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under52c8,743$4,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,589.3437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c6,545$3,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.711,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under49c5,914$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.772867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under49c5,912$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.9853448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c5,535$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,620.862,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under51c5,491$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under58c5,157$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.8970750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over46c5,031$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.951,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40016755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over52c4,402$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.096550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over36c3,958$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.692,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over51c3,800$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86227845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c3,541$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c3,474$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.522,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36e…12d8backed Under47c3,200$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.822934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over50c2,950$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.9822943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Under54c2,922$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.698037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under50c2,904$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.9944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over53c2,832$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.347038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over51c2,826$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.511,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Under51c2,777$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.049740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over53c2,700$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2566246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over46c2,698$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.741,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c2,525$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.751,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over52c2,482$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.8637223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over54c2,407$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.4115034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over54c2,407$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.4117944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under52c2,258$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.8425049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under52c2,222$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.3318543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c2,171$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.983,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under54c2,157$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.4961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over50c2,122$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0514131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over48c2,027$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.320150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9919545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under49c1,976$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.3858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0819342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over52c1,894$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.5146223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under47c1,844$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.686238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under50c1,839$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.2525942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under53c1,797$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.9344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over51c1,769$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.0421443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under66c1,728$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.2883153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over49c1,722$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.065925.4%15 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over37c1,708$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.772,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Over53c1,698$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.114643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under55c1,648$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.6920839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c1,552$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.074,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Over45c1,511$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.115143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over48c1,404$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.3953629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over47c1,270$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.0537955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de6…d1a3backed Under55c1,269$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over39c1,202$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.192,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over53c1,136$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.047847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c1,118$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.771,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Over52c1,067$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.318640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under1c1,063$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6326647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Over33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67011156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c6…276abacked Under48c999.97$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.998934.8%31 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5411643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over47c943.4$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50036234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.422436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0935244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over48c907.96$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.211,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under3c900.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c839.99$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.151,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under23c822.54$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under57c724.88$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.032,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over56c704.07$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.7159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under66c646.17$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.3785851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.312763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over51c637.25$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2518742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under55c637.25$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3947744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under47c633.87$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8434122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under72c609.21$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43610848.1%52 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Under49c603.27$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2987247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb2…abdfbacked Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.929348.4%45 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over46c566.04$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.6627032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2f…ac93backed Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.043467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1cf…f870backed Over51c558.24$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5627742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.