Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafd284c524186c6bd0a294c68f386bfb2cc4f694618ee865a3dced19693a6293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14b9…f378backed Under | 17c | 28,711$4,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880.87 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 8,308$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.15 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 9c | 3,248$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 15c | 2,760$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.87 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 74c | 2,010$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 20c | 1,852$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.23 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 16c | 1,708$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 16c | 1,432$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 77c | 1,030$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.17 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 14c | 644.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…cbb9backed Over | 79c | 587.3$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 15c | 540.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 15c | 463.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf052…e10bbacked Over | 76c | 435.14$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…978ebacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 15c | 321.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 76c | 276.83$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 11c | 240$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 15c | 233.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…f874backed Over | 79c | 217.14$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 24c | 214.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 80c | 198$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Under | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 75c | 168$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 17c | 160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 15c | 157.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed Under | 14c | 152.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 80c | 125.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 15c | 115$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f6…3784backed Over | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 16c | 91.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 12c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…bbc3backed Over | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Over | 75c | 66.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 17c | 65.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85c…406ebacked Over | 78c | 47.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 80c | 39.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…1f5cbacked Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e65…88c4backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 80c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5this page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.