TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,339 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c47,816$17,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,120.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over63c19,041$12,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,021.644,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under36c14,106$5,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,132.483,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under46c11,381$5,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,207.452,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over64c9,999$6,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.6816957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c9,488$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.852,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over80c8,952$7,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.5765737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c8,903$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.584,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over64c6,000$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.7135446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over64c5,010$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.5522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over64c3,494$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.522,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Over75c3,000$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9821850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x055d…245dbacked Over64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.751625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over65c2,322$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.0430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c2,031$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.142,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Over56c1,964$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.59357%53 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under36c1,762$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.1658029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over66c1,740$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.464065%26 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x900e…104dbacked Over63c1,701$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c1,681$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.593,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Over64c1,643$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.588142%34 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.57842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c9…caf5backed Over65c1,539$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.625068%34 W · 16 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over63c1,390$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.261,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c1,377$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over70c1,326$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.0959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over61c1,231$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.331,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under39c1,065$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.359563.2%60 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51010931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb048…7f07backed Over45c999.25$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.599148.4%44 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fff…89e9backed Over63c910$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3407350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over57c849.99$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.561,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2512349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under36c766.96$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.743,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87db…9cfebacked Over64c750$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Over64c700.72$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.268367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe834…a88ebacked Over64c693.7$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.731275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa37b…63a1backed Under36c631.19$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.922951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2254650%23 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3814568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1850…a9debacked Over65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.381145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over52c608$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.982,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21019545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Under54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010425%26 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under37c519.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3717747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under35c512.22$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.281,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under37c502.44$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.261,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b7…2d2cbacked Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under37c470.56$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.731,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over65c464.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4237955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…e501backed Over65c457.49$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.632045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under35c448.76$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.33,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Under28c409.47$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.45925.4%15 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa458…24dfbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006728.4%19 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under35c398.82$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.331,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under5c396$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under36c391.94$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.623,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over63c357$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0951315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Under36c339.58$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2515131.8%48 W · 103 L-16.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under37c331.22$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Over64c329.44$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.69265.2%60 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under37c326.88$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.742,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c0…be17backed Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x944f…0da6backed Over65c308.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2913862.3%86 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75f5…6070backed Over63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1114454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10514248.6%69 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over64c280$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.814440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over64c273.96$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9635848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b27…136abacked Over64c263.45$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.843360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over57c261.32$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.21,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over63c258.14$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.962,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.388652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Over64c217.34$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.243551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over53c205$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0241444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa7…90febacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085733.3%19 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012140.5%49 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed36…33d5backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008733.3%29 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c75…978ebacked Over61c188.86$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.868438.1%32 W · 52 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Over64c187.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.510354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over58c181.48$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.12,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under23c181.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602c…5f57backed Over65c174.32$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.01875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f19…77e3backed Over64c168.75$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.754223.8%10 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f74…caf7backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…b976backed Over63c158.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.973458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over57c157.97$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.612,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4c…6047backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.256468.8%44 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2535621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.256162.3%38 W · 23 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc940…4d39backed Over64c155.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.335541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15f…4497backed Over65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412754.3%69 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdba…aa96backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8551045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd17…3818backed Over64c152.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.815360.4%32 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a11…84cbbacked Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f6…663fbacked Over64c145.14$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.723751.4%19 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Under24c144.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6811537.4%43 W · 72 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under37c137$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6918028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over64c136.57$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1727363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.