TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$570,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$619,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $570,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 540 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c90,390$24,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,085.924,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under45c74,012$33,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,037.9842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over57c60,000$34,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,799.9917840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over69c46,056$31,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,488.092,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under33c35,420$11,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,519.521,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under40c19,021$7,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,611.0323540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over75c18,217$13,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.831,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under31c13,527$4,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,147.9356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over74c13,500$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,51014045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over74c9,248$6,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.4510355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over67c8,820$5,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.3565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under19c8,801$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.087431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under26c6,726$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.7332031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under46c6,522$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under28c6,332$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.111,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c5,701$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.342,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under18c5,317$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.2833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under26c4,731$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.262,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,344$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under26c4,342$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.561,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over71c4,258$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.191,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c3,854$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.953,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under26c3,643$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.8858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.9813448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9815128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Over75c2,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.677456.8%42 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over74c2,661$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.9414463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Under39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Over72c2,400$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672258%2 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over68c2,358$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.311,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over69c2,300$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71331152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a5…e3cabacked Over70c2,216$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.864663%29 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.164443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under37c1,892$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9937242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under26c1,870$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.1720731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.857448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over54c1,839$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.7319342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Over74c1,816$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.1513550.4%68 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c1,813$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.038,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under26c1,744$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44818548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over61c1,695$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.1710331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40010261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over64c1,561$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.8446939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under32c1,547$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.123857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c1,535$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.443,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Over74c1,514$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.6313860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over67c1,497$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.611,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Over75c1,476$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3691154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Over76c1,456$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.916543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c1,446$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed Over64c1,410$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.94050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over74c1,380$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1432422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under25c1,352$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.121,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Over75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.335350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1159…c711backed Over66c1,331$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.737346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under27c1,287$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under35c1,259$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.2169534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Over73c1,216$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.4410251%52 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Over63c1,147$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.523070%21 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over73c1,147$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.692,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over68c1,143$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.811,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d0…3df9backed Under27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over73c1,100$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29737451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over74c1,096$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.039462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ef…098bbacked Over74c1,090$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.413652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over73c1,053$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5723747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under27c1,030$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.231,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under27c1,026$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27728025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over58c1,023$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8220234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over65c1,011$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.7117040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under35c1,010$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.5846445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over61c1,007$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.312,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…cdb2backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b6…e069backed Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under27c988.62$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.041,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over63c982$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.921,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under34c951.01$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over62c944.58$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over75c920.87$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2210756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c52…a9b7backed Over75c918.67$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over69c916$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbe2…490abacked Over75c859.09$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over74c843.34$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c91…6795backed Over72c830$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.410454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over70c829$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.73,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e6…fa57backed Over75c826.67$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over69c820.91$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.671,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under26c819.03$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8552744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed Over75c817.31$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.331662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c89…3f81backed Over75c807.08$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over72c803.49$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.981,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa6…9361backed Over69c801.03$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.326145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under38c792$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.492,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x32fd…9a30backed Over75c784.69$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over61c784.08$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.641,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Over64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.256261.3%38 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.