TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,603 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e52…00f5backed Over2c29,999$595 inLost-$594.9821640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over2c4,998$100 inLost-$99.9636437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2db…236fbacked Over2c4,000$80 inLost-$801010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over1c2,933$22 inLost-$22.235911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Over2c2,572$50 inLost-$5012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over3c1,933$52 inLost-$521,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37cd…7b7ebacked Over3c1,786$50 inLost-$501717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7a…3accbacked Over3c1,292$35 inLost-$357536%27 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Over8c1,285$98 inLost-$97.584112.2%5 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Over3c1,171$29 inLost-$29.271850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2a…9997backed Over1c1,109$11 inLost-$11.095431.5%17 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over2c1,000$22 inLost-$2215225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over2c1,000$20 inLost-$2012020%24 W · 96 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Over3c954.83$29 inLost-$28.643912.8%5 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over2c850$20 inLost-$2052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Over6c828.04$50 inLost-$5010330.1%31 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over3c777$23 inLost-$23.3136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0691…c0f5backed Over2c700$14 inLost-$141145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2f…06bebacked Over2c500$10 inLost-$104513.3%6 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Over2c500$10 inLost-$108936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Over2c500$10 inLost-$1012138.8%47 W · 74 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1c3…72a8backed Over2c500$10 inLost-$1012544%55 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.