TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,193 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Under39c372.47$145 inWon+$227.2153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under38c262.4$100 inWon+$162.6958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Over61c197.21$120 inLost-$12010354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe25e…e501backed Over61c162.3$99 inLost-$992045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost-$10052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over59c92.95$55 inLost-$54.8422147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae42…d021backed Over59c85$50 inLost-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over59c67.95$40 inLost-$4018036.1%65 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb09b…5347backed Over62c47.08$29 inLost-$29.191020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Over59c43$25 inLost-$25.3715635.9%56 W · 100 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3da3…2800backed Over58c34.48$20 inLost-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe73…0818backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost-$203860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Under42c27.45$12 inWon+$15.9245472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba8…8799backed Over61c26.1$16 inLost-$15.922263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under42c25$11 inWon+$14.52,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a8…a3d3backed Under46c21.98$10 inWon+$11.795141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.