TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fbe…7ba1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
291
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT18036.1%65 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 180 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$43.52
Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$21.87
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Uzbekistan to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 180 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT539.4%5 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+322.1%+$96.63
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$572
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.72
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$60.03
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.8%+$32.16
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$32
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.97
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$93.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.51
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+196.2%+$58.86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+45.3%+$6.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+211%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25%+$5.5
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+289.1%+$75.17
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+2,015.1%+$322.41
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.8%+$10.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+170.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$21.13
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+150%+$27
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+237.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+237.5%+$35.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.