Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd5b3bc2cf7406176657ec30f93ce9208b32ea0bf9f2a8724f4af79019dd1572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 10c | 15,426$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.12 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 10c | 1,956$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 22c | 1,636$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 73c | 1,491$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.9 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Over | 26c | 1,371$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.19 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 15c | 835.37$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked Over | 35c | 534.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.21 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 377.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 20c | 372.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 31c | 324$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 8c | 258.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 34c | 239.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Under | 61c | 187.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Over | 51c | 176$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 70c | 165$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 72c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 9c | 129.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 22c | 74.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 28c | 73.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 23c | 62.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 25c | 59.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 78c | 51.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 43.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 28c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 59c | 22.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 2.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: DR Congo (-3.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.