TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Uzbekistanof DR Congo, Uzbekistan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,370 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked DR Congo2c12,279$257 inLost-$256.683,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed DR Congo9c5,019$459 inLost-$458.752,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked DR Congo13c4,000$520 inLost-$5205538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed DR Congo7c3,674$239 inLost-$239.081,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked DR Congo12c3,493$419 inLost-$419.122,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed DR Congo13c3,154$410 inLost-$41030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed DR Congo3c2,361$82 inLost-$81.743,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked DR Congo1c2,000$20 inLost-$2022933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed DR Congo7c1,841$132 inLost-$131.84,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked DR Congo1c1,500$15 inLost-$14.9925719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked DR Congo13c1,383$178 inLost-$177.661,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed DR Congo15c1,345$200 inLost-$20012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Uzbekistan78c1,238$965 inWon+$272.2985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed DR Congo3c1,232$38 inLost-$37.654,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked DR Congo13c1,038$135 inLost-$13522032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed DR Congo1c1,000$10 inLost-$1038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed DR Congo2c1,000$20 inLost-$2042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed DR Congo12c833.33$100 inLost-$10014528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed DR Congo15c831.99$121 inLost-$120.8432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked DR Congo4c782$31 inLost-$31.012,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed DR Congo9c729.58$63 inLost-$62.662,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed DR Congo14c599.97$84 inLost-$8414051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5221…3304backed DR Congo13c538.46$70 inLost-$708938.2%34 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked DR Congo12c416.67$50 inLost-$5021128%59 W · 152 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceae…1cedbacked DR Congo11c376$41 inLost-$41.364030%12 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked DR Congo12c327.65$40 inLost-$40.483,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked DR Congo12c250$30 inLost-$3012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Uzbekistan78c245.32$191 inWon+$53.971,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed DR Congo8c210.78$17 inLost-$16.627034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed DR Congo10c200.45$20 inLost-$20.0539039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked DR Congo12c166.67$20 inLost-$2026720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed DR Congo13c107.69$14 inLost-$1415234.2%52 W · 100 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.