Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c89fbcd00a1788ef694e9fe8f179461289aea0578b8d08e4206998af2fed235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DR Congoof Uzbekistan, DR Congo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Uzbekistan | 8c | 7,534$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.67 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Uzbekistan | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Uzbekistan | 6c | 4,228$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Uzbekistan | 4c | 4,062$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Uzbekistan | 9c | 3,852$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.33 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Uzbekistan | 9c | 3,687$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.83 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Uzbekistan | 16c | 1,875$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.31 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…5604backed Uzbekistan | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Uzbekistan | 6c | 1,613$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Uzbekistan | 6c | 1,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Uzbekistan | 1c | 1,170$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Uzbekistan | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Uzbekistan | 16c | 1,097$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Uzbekistan | 16c | 1,055$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Uzbekistan | 5c | 867.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Uzbekistan | 5c | 676.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Uzbekistan | 5c | 660$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Uzbekistan | 14c | 442$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Uzbekistan | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Uzbekistan | 8c | 370$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Uzbekistan | 13c | 298.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Uzbekistan | 7c | 294.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Uzbekistan | 11c | 284$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 575 | 41.7%240 W · 335 L | -20.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Uzbekistan | 5c | 268.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Uzbekistan | 6c | 240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Uzbekistan | 8c | 226.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed DR Congo | 79c | 220.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Uzbekistan | 8c | 214$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Uzbekistan | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Uzbekistan | 22c | 138.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Uzbekistan | 9c | 125.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Uzbekistan | 15c | 117.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Uzbekistan | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 261 | 46%120 W · 141 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Uzbekistan | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Uzbekistan | 18c | 89.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Uzbekistan | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…8dc6backed Uzbekistan | 21c | 70.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed DR Congo | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed DR Congo | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)this page
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 2.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: DR Congo (-3.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.