TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,690,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,674,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,690,369 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 722 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f0c…7ca5backed Under58c242,484$141,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,546.411560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+148.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over44c240,000$105,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,399.9122348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c69,700$34,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,159.014,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under56c55,555$31,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,110.811647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c49,381$23,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,515.473,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under21c42,309$8,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,775.9830054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under48c41,536$20,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,095.822,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Over52c40,000$20,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,299.988063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Over58c38,519$22,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,174.8617550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over58c35,488$20,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,904.979839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Under57c35,088$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over47c30,905$14,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,379.6520844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c24,812$11,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,547.331,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under10c23,338$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.5624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under13c22,013$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.52433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over75c21,043$15,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,359.6538333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under41c20,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1004856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under40c20,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10010851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Over43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.995263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under57c18,888$10,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,766.1642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over49c17,928$8,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,111.7777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under39c13,893$5,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,424.5826447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under53c13,732$7,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,278.2364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under55c13,270$7,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,305.42,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over60c12,500$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under42c12,348$5,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,22742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over42c12,095$5,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,011.1427345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under39c12,093$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.037744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over57c11,607$6,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over42c10,381$4,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,020.926953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over49c10,276$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.818740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under19c9,586$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.2443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under46c9,530$4,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,422.0174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under25c7,999$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.7439933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under40c7,802$3,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.269525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under53c7,547$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over43c7,125$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under40c6,999$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.4522933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under57c6,830$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,893.12,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under18c6,245$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.8741331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over43c6,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.9529633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under49c5,893$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.211,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5602…b304backed Over42c5,892$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,417.111070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under16c5,757$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.0527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under36c5,692$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.2332656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Over43c5,656$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.6333549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Over62c5,500$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1156155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ab…8057backed Under53c5,425$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c5,289$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.422,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under33c5,223$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.751030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f32…d2c7backed Under54c5,202$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over59c5,137$3,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.042,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under2c5,026$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Under59c4,999$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.494940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c4,618$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,396.5374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under40c4,551$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.4513151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over71c4,444$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over67c4,380$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.335244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under38c3,900$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.558926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under4c3,750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over43c3,721$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.937943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under31c3,695$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under56c3,640$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.425857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over43c3,500$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9959126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over66c3,484$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Under57c3,480$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.66434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2952…4e7ebacked Over44c3,409$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.092528%7 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under56c3,200$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under13c3,190$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.3325942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under57c3,158$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8009741.2%40 W · 57 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under56c3,120$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.9510146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under17c3,119$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1830642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over57c3,097$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.9828229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Over50c3,034$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.866847.1%32 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c3,028$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under51c3,006$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.012931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under11c2,905$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9821946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under56c2,800$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under56c2,758$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.2826454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c2,755$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.71,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over44c2,689$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.8422943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under2c2,650$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over44c2,522$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.0747144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under56c2,502$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40119329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under56c2,450$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.812241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Under43c2,431$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.4616549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under56c2,400$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Over45c2,300$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2658349.4%41 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under41c2,172$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.4962633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c2,119$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over44c2,061$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.3189443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under49c2,008$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.0319946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Under3c2,006$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.198048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Over45c2,000$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11033548.4%162 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.