TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Over66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under29c2,151$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.7141331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over67c1,911$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.727227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under34c1,680$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.352,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under34c1,666$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.3574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under27c1,567$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.733,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under35c1,140$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3992,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over75c933.33$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3341968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2367447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under2c760$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd098…c290backed Under8c535.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.873132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over72c511.08$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.372,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over70c510.23$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.219573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over60c504.23$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6989443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over70c407.67$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Under40c404.23$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.698336.1%30 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over68c402.09$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.361,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under36c371$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.851,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under34c313.41$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0465036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under36c300$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.51,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under36c300$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Under34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over69c219.25$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.021,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c207.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under35c193.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.161,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Over65c163.77$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.327634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.42,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over69c128.12$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7213247%62 W · 70 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Under35c101.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6920942.6%89 W · 120 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over69c93.68$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.022,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under33c83.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1842126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2184…4c8ebacked Over67c79.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53959%23 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7663152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over74c70.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9346562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over70c69.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over66c63.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.623,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over74c59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.112,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2763…abe6backed Under32c53.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1111331.9%36 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over68c50.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574f…6849backed Over65c46.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2918047.2%85 W · 95 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over65c42.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f08…cbe8backed Under35c42.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under35c31.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over68c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7258642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.