TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd098…c290

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.47
Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$31.11
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.87
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$9.83
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.84
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.13
Czechia vs. Mexico: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.36
Morocco vs. Haiti: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Scotland vs. Brazil: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.08
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.97
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.6
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$49.64
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.73
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$188.96
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.24
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+156.2%+$592.06
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.03
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.74
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.11
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Stefano Travaglia vs Yi Zhoubacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Bad Homburg Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.98
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarrobacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+178.9%+$22.15
Brescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.08
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Martin Dammbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$94.83
Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Poznan: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.29
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.63
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+102.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$122.55
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$12.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$83.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.