TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Scotland vs. Brazil: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No79c11,395$9,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Yes37c8,440$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes37c8,047$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005042%21 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c7,508$5,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.452,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes17c5,470$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c4,211$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.183,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes8c3,928$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0610921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No77c3,060$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.7766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No63c2,747$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.782,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No70c2,704$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.054,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No64c2,663$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.511963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes36c2,621$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.631,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes29c1,524$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.042,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Yes37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes9c1,136$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008530.6%26 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x806e…2e52backed Yes36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9919545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No64c725.22$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c698.65$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.51,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Yes7c666.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011316.8%19 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes33c584.13$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.582,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No64c518.67$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.817856.2%100 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes8c480.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.692,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes8c437.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0262633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No63c396$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.522,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No63c285.12$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.588651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No63c280$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016537.6%62 W · 103 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes37c270.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.267038.6%27 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Yes26c250$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.519324.9%48 W · 145 L+0.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Yes7c220$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159012.2%11 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No63c209$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3333538.8%130 W · 205 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes14c205.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288538.8%33 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Yes37c202.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518550.3%93 W · 92 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7439956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e8…66aebacked No64c180$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.85747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a6d…4448backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Yes28c128$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8433438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2576…d613backed No64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.28251.2%42 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2763…abe6backed Yes36c113.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8711331.9%36 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes16c110$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.052,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3627434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x974b…076ebacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405530.9%17 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3535614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes28c88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0687837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…45ecbacked Yes37c85.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.65637.5%21 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes15c84.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6148328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No63c79.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.63,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce2…957fbacked No64c71.75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.83850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8559…c9f7backed Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No73c65.58$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8319026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b1f…4367backed Yes36c59.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No64c57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5263035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0276…8454backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208543.5%37 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes36c48.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.623,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…777dbacked Yes37c48.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186735.8%24 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c6…4b4bbacked No64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.882373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7ab…734ebacked Yes36c40.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43b…b291backed Yes37c38.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d86…e5d1backed Yes40c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22015%3 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-62%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes41c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed No63c32.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No64c22.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa135…68b8backed No64c21.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6432245.3%146 W · 176 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No65c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3554450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3211…bcf7backed No63c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7736953.9%199 W · 170 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4490…e3babacked No64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5615357.5%88 W · 65 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b8a…20d6backed No64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5613256.1%74 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b32…90bdbacked No64c20.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2819944.2%88 W · 111 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.454859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e1…15dbbacked No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23976.9%30 W · 9 L+8.0wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+50.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x591d…8a16backed No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.25170.6%36 W · 15 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+26.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd098…c290backed No64c19.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.083132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No64c17.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1918473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b3…e571backed No64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.