Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b7d2487dcb8b5185e66d9862f8e9dae7699ff4c05046f79cc75397b037bc07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 55c | 85,000$46,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,249.87 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 57,305$18,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,977.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 55c | 39,259$21,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,773.39 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 56c | 35,731$20,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,721.7 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked No | 46c | 32,505$14,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,927.45 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 26,386$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 18,992$8,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,547.4 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 44c | 18,170$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.84 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 14,889$8,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,169.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 45c | 8,500$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 44c | 8,228$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.2 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed Yes | 53c | 7,076$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 21c | 7,049$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 6,543$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.87 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 45c | 5,462$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.08 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 55c | 4,347$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.22 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed Yes | 55c | 3,298$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.98 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 15c | 3,162$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.29 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 44c | 2,927$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.04 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…34cbbacked No | 3c | 2,875$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked No | 46c | 2,661$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 6c | 1,969$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 19c | 1,661$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.05 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 45c | 1,584$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.11 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.2 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…70e6backed No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 9c | 1,453$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 46c | 1,264$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.25 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 11c | 1,116$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 46c | 1,059$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.35 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked No | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 45c | 952.45$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.75 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 45c | 919.4$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.73 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7714backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 8c | 692.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 578.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.01 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 568$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 564.48$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.37 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 44c | 518.67$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.29 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 56c | 517.86$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 11c | 512.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5619…d1f6backed Yes | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.6wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 443.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 45c | 429.91$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 44c | 419.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.79 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 46c | 403.83$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 399.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 45c | 362.12$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.95 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…66aebacked No | 44c | 360$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…27bfbacked Yes | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 45c | 312$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 45c | 312$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 297.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…d342backed Yes | 55c | 285.39$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 20c | 283.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 45c | 280$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 44c | 280$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8f…56e5backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Yes | 56c | 258.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 54c | 255.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 61c | 224.85$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 33c | 209$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…94b5backed Yes | 56c | 208.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…326abacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Yes | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil leading at halftime?this page
- Scotland leading at halftime?No won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.