Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27264790de8775512e7941020e322d97e3c28818682c3c6cb8672dd838b86a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florian Broskaof Florian Broska, Lukas Neumayer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Florian Broska | 19c | 1,584$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.65 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lukas Neumayer | 16c | 1,334$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.78 | 2,347 | 52.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L | +86.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Florian Broska | 18c | 1,000$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.99 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Florian Broska | 15c | 909.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.41 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Florian Broska | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 319 | 36.4%116 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Neumayer | 67c | 767.89$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.54 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lukas Neumayer | 15c | 739.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lukas Neumayer | 40c | 569.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Florian Broska | 20c | 529.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.79 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 515.77$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.59 | 4,684 | 48.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L | +35.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Florian Broska | 23c | 342.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.13 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Florian Broska | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Lukas Neumayer | 65c | 256.81$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Florian Broska | 37c | 208.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lukas Neumayer | 58c | 208.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 4,277 | 45%1,925 W · 2,352 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Florian Broska | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.91 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Lukas Neumayer | 77c | 189.72$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Lukas Neumayer | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Florian Broska | 39c | 160.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 1,496 | 43.6%652 W · 844 L | -29.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Florian Broska | 13c | 158.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Florian Broska | 73c | 158.46$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Florian Broska | 33c | 150.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Florian Broska | 69c | 143.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Florian Broska | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Florian Broska | 17c | 118$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Florian Broska | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Florian Broska | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lukas Neumayer | 50c | 108.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 105$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Florian Broska | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Lukas Neumayer | 39c | 96.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Florian Broska | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Lukas Neumayer | 13c | 92.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,837 | 46.5%855 W · 982 L | +20.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Florian Broska | 33c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Florian Broska | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 431 | 52%224 W · 207 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 981 | 56%549 W · 432 L | +23.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 57.6%189 W · 139 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 553 | 57%315 W · 238 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 57.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 906 | 54.6%495 W · 411 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Florian Broska | 62c | 54.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 3,885 | 55%2,137 W · 1,748 L | +111.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Lukas Neumayer | 55c | 54.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Lukas Neumayer | 77c | 53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…c290backed Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 52.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lukas Neumayer | 42c | 44.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 747 | 46.1%344 W · 403 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Lukas Neumayer | 73c | 39.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Florian Broska | 30c | 39.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d92…48e4backed Florian Broska | 78c | 38.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 988 | 55.5%548 W · 440 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Florian Broska | 46c | 34.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Florian Broska | 65c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Florian Broska | 59c | 30.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Florian Broska | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Florian Broska | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Florian Broska | 46c | 29.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 538 | 55.2%297 W · 241 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Lukas Neumayer | 79c | 20.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Lukas Neumayer | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 103 | 68.9%71 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 450 | 63.6%286 W · 164 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Florian Broska | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…cb46backed Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Poznan: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayerthis page
- Set Handicap: Neumayer (-1.5) vs Broska (+1.5)Broska won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.