TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87d1…3744

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,108
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1,104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Poznan: Dalibor Svrcina vs Gustavo Heidebacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Dublin: Kyrian Jacquet vs Henry Searlebacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.16
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaevabacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Figueira Da Foz: Martyna Kubka vs Yeon-Woo Kubacked Martyna Kubka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.3
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Brescia: Elizara Yaneva vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Poznan: Michele Ribecai vs Facundo Acostabacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Royan: Cosme de Ravel vs Lucio Rattibacked Cosme de Ravel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$41.11
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Brescia: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmobacked Anastasiia Sobolieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$72.38
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Matias Sotobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Parma: Marco Cecchinato vs Luca Van Asschebacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Halle Open: Raphael Collignon vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Taylah Prestonbacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Leo Raquilletbacked Leo Raquillet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.43
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Hannah Klugmanbacked Hannah Klugman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Remy Bertolabacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$50.63
Showing 25 of 1,104 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.