Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Cosme de Ravel vs Lucio Ratti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ef7a73dba1c4385a7de4169fb11f84ac2c5ed494fad22bc88e41418f6567fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cosme de Ravelof Cosme de Ravel, Lucio Ratti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lucio Ratti | 22c | 3,059$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.72 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lucio Ratti | 23c | 1,754$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.99 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lucio Ratti | 23c | 1,504$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.83 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Cosme de Ravel | 53c | 1,420$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.92 | 691 | 41.1%284 W · 407 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cosme de Ravel | 72c | 1,395$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucio Ratti | 19c | 1,279$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lucio Ratti | 21c | 1,188$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.15 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Cosme de Ravel | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Lucio Ratti | 27c | 888.89$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Cosme de Ravel | 72c | 760$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 269 | 53.5%144 W · 125 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Lucio Ratti | 47c | 634.06$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.99 | 1,143 | 41.3%472 W · 671 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucio Ratti | 26c | 594.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.74 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cosme de Ravel | 63c | 568.25$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.83 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lucio Ratti | 48c | 546.73$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.43 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Cosme de Ravel | 75c | 473.6$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Cosme de Ravel | 52c | 446.15$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.15 | 440 | 56.1%247 W · 193 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Lucio Ratti | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Lucio Ratti | 51c | 388.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…3300backed Cosme de Ravel | 53c | 378.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucio Ratti | 18c | 367$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lucio Ratti | 24c | 286.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Lucio Ratti | 28c | 277.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lucio Ratti | 49c | 272.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.81 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Lucio Ratti | 31c | 267.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Lucio Ratti | 25c | 261.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 1,371 | 44.5%610 W · 761 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Cosme de Ravel | 76c | 252.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21f…9fe3backed Lucio Ratti | 50c | 239.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Cosme de Ravel | 73c | 220.71$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Lucio Ratti | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Cosme de Ravel | 50c | 195$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Cosme de Ravel | 52c | 180.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 587 | 57.8%339 W · 248 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lucio Ratti | 48c | 177.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Cosme de Ravel | 76c | 175.34$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…d0e7backed Lucio Ratti | 50c | 147.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Cosme de Ravel | 71c | 140.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Lucio Ratti | 25c | 136.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Lucio Ratti | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…0256backed Cosme de Ravel | 80c | 124.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cosme de Ravel | 69c | 107.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Cosme de Ravel | 52c | 104.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Lucio Ratti | 29c | 97.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucio Ratti | 25c | 85.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lucio Ratti | 35c | 83.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cosme de Ravel | 76c | 79.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…13e5backed Lucio Ratti | 21c | 70.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Cosme de Ravel | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Lucio Ratti | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Lucio Ratti | 25c | 45.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lucio Ratti | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…ebb1backed Cosme de Ravel | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…619ebacked Lucio Ratti | 40c | 39.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Cosme de Ravel | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8e…7a62backed Cosme de Ravel | 69c | 37.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Cosme de Ravel | 71c | 33.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…34a6backed Lucio Ratti | 54c | 27.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -30.3wins | -0.30per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Cosme de Ravel | 76c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Lucio Ratti | 48c | 26.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Cosme de Ravel | 69c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lucio Ratti | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Cosme de Ravel | 75c | 21.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Cosme de Ravel | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,830 | 57.7%1,056 W · 774 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.