TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf767…ebb1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Ourense: Greet Minnen vs Isabella Shinikovabacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
National Bank Open: Linda Noskova vs Caty McNallybacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vardan Manukyan vs Dusan Obradovicbacked Dusan Obradovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Plovdiv 2: Franco Ribero vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Plovdiv 2: Daniel Galan vs Georgi Georgievbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Jaesung Choebacked Yuki Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+79%+$18.95
National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhangbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Zhibek Kulambayeva vs. Lisa Zaar: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Iasi Open, Qualification: Georgina Garcia Perez vs Andreea Prisacariubacked Andreea Prisacariu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$22.59
Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+181.3%+$29
ITF Amstelveen: Madelief Hageman vs Daniela Vismanebacked Daniela Vismane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$20
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon ATP: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Wimbledon ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
ITF Kayseri: Keshav Chopra vs Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumarbacked Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+118.3%+$44.17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+164.4%+$41.1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+382.4%+$41.18
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$18.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.