Us Politics · resolved market
The 'Bill' Epstein Parlay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1341f4385e6eb59a4e7ee60ae66766a8a173bbf1b1e54e358a50b5552d29ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 65c | 5,859$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 29c | 5,847$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.14 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 43c | 2,921$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.9 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…adcbbacked No | 58c | 2,161$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 80c | 1,792$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.24 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,704$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.37 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 68c | 1,659$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.51 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 64c | 1,530$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.89 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 47c | 1,353$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.12 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 48c | 1,173$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.93 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 47c | 1,053$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.08 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d31…cb04backed Yes | 39c | 1,052$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…1a76backed Yes | 53c | 942.25$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7a7dbacked Yes | 40c | 924.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Yes | 47c | 914.04$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed Yes | 58c | 747.42$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Yes | 21c | 729.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 80c | 697.62$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 2c | 665.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…b251backed Yes | 49c | 612.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 601.75$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.75 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…1779backed No | 61c | 513$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…007ebacked Yes | 37c | 506.39$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Yes | 44c | 491.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 40c | 475$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 36c | 472.68$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.62 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 36c | 440$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 439$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.03 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 46c | 429.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked No | 76c | 385.05$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked No | 38c | 373.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 62c | 327.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 52c | 316.31$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…a2f8backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…c292backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 45c | 299.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…d2afbacked Yes | 50c | 292.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…02c9backed Yes | 50c | 291.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 42c | 290.24$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…b68cbacked Yes | 41c | 269$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 32c | 245.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 238.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 42c | 231.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 57c | 173$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed Yes | 58c | 172.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 44c | 168$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 50c | 153.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Yes | 45c | 151.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…7a58backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 55c | 145.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 40c | 145$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 40c | 144$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 54c | 135.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed No | 55c | 132.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 41c | 122.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3919…e80fbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 54c | 116.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 41c | 114$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ccb5backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 57c | 107.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 73c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…3f05backed Yes | 59c | 102.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…e644backed Yes | 52c | 100.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ac57backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…da59backed Yes | 56c | 89.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…2f89backed No | 69c | 89.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…618bbacked No | 50c | 88.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…ab88backed Yes | 13c | 82.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed No | 47c | 78.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…44d8backed Yes | 51c | 77.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 52c | 77.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 41c | 72.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…e844backed No | 58c | 70.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…1b02backed Yes | 57c | 66.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed No | 70c | 66.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 53c | 66.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…88eebacked Yes | 46c | 64.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 58c | 62.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 74c | 59.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 59c | 57.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…6fa7backed Yes | 41c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed No | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…ed67backed Yes | 47c | 52.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed No | 71c | 50.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…cbf7backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…7a79backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.