TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x975b…2d5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT14129.8%42 W · 99 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$819
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$814.47
UFC 317: Will Topuria To Win By KO/TKO/DQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,505.38
UFC 317 Parlay: Topuria + Pantojabacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,308.37
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.28
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$260
UFC Fight Night: Will Hill win by KO/TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$55.43
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
UFC Fight Night Parlay: Rountree Jr. + Bahamondesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,787Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$766.57
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondesbacked Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.31
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Kunievbacked Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$38.73
UFC Fight Night Parlay: Buckley and Namajunas backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$220.91
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckleybacked Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$2,226.67
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Maverickbacked Maverick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.01
UFC Fight Night: Shahbazyan vs. Petroskibacked Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,187.5
UFC Fight Night: Garbrandt vs. Barcelosbacked Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$975.54
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs. Brundagebacked Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.91
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. McGeebacked McGee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$328.66
UFC Fight Night: Wellmaker vs. Moutinhobacked Moutinho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.2
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.75
Pena vs. Harrisonbacked Pena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.86
Gastelum vs. Pyferbacked Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$596.57
Bautista vs. Mixbacked Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$400.57
Luque vs. Hollandbacked Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.27
Silva vs. Vanbacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.63
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+58.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+84.1%+$145.46
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.1%+$57.82
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$196
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,047Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+46.7%+$1,423.39
Will Trump say "Trans / Transgender" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.77
Will Trump endorse Conor McGregor for President of Ireland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$430.48
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42%+$80.14
The 'Bill' Epstein Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+75.6%+$46.44
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+65.9%+$1,014.61
US military action against Iran by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$449.46
Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,832.3
US military action against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$1,065.77
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+952.6%+$905
Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$18.13
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.51
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+128%+$753.34
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+455.6%+$98.4
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+55.1%+$218.12
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$78.71
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$117.15
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a streaker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$122.1
Will Young Thug perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$15.54
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$194.94
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Not Like Us"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$226.27
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+95.2%+$47.76
Will Patrick Mahomes score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$138.4
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Humble" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$78.03
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Not Like Us" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$134.95
Will A.J. Brown score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$169.7
Will A.J. Brown score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+212.5%+$1,416.1
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$48.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-68.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$80.56
Will a club from Europe win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.84
Will a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.15
Will a club from Asia win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.37
Benfica vs. Auckland City: 7+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.31
Botafogo vs. Seattle Sounders: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.05
Bayern Munich vs. Auckland City: 5+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,298.86
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+37%+$298.34
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$525.07
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$726.83
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$122.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Which conference wins NBA Finals?backed West · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,952Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$1,306.46
NBA Finals: Thunder to win game 4 and the series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.04
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$319.32
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.97
Will Pacers vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.8
Will Knicks vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Knicks win and Brunson scores 32+ points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+112.3%+$37.04
Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.74
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.18
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$428.98
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$104.77
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+55%+$182.47
Israel military action against Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$432.38
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,251.39
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$863.81
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+264.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+101.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Base airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.71
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$34.59
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$156
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+284.6%+$148
Will Spirit win the PGL Astana Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cooper Flagg win the Wooden Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$887.51
Will Alabama make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$53
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55.53
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$62.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,052Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$791.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$572.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$350.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Europa League Final: 3+ goals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,270.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.