UFC · resolved market
UFC 317 Parlay: Topuria + Pantoja
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x412f200da79ba42e77cfef70b044af95ab68f7144838d470ad5fb6d993827d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 40c | 9,001$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.06 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 60c | 5,797$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.09 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 41c | 3,185$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.37 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yes | 59c | 3,010$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.33 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 30c | 2,060$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.69 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.97 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 41c | 1,820$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.54 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Yes | 58c | 1,820$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.84 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed No | 42c | 1,511$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Yes | 61c | 1,272$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.33 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 41c | 1,242$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 947.33$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.35 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…9142backed Yes | 59c | 741.11$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…96d6backed Yes | 60c | 537.03$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 59c | 510.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 60c | 500$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 37c | 471.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 43c | 468.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…7343backed Yes | 58c | 440$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes | 57c | 430.79$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d88…8d8ebacked Yes | 59c | 425.27$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 57c | 365.92$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed Yes | 59c | 349.49$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 59c | 337.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed Yes | 60c | 318.27$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 65c | 309.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed No | 40c | 305$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Yes | 60c | 292.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 17c | 260.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 62c | 237.57$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Yes | 58c | 225$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Yes | 58c | 174.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…3530backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked No | 50c | 170.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…6d12backed Yes | 59c | 169.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Yes | 61c | 162.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Yes | 57c | 143.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…aa43backed Yes | 59c | 133.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be3…3ec3backed Yes | 60c | 133.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 40c | 117.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…11cebacked No | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…2b47backed Yes | 59c | 110.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…f347backed Yes | 57c | 106.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…81fdbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…3735backed Yes | 59c | 98.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…d953backed Yes | 60c | 95.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…9237backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…5ecabacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…89dbbacked Yes | 59c | 76.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…9d7abacked Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e1…e988backed Yes | 58c | 68.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 38c | 62.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked No | 48c | 51.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb728…fc92backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked No | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2896…8711backed Yes | 59c | 43.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…e423backed Yes | 54c | 42.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Yes | 59c | 42.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 42c | 36.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 42c | 36.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…0a58backed Yes | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…d054backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3076…e1d7backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…dd23backed Yes | 60c | 35.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eca…8191backed Yes | 58c | 33.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed No | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed No | 44c | 31.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…86f8backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…bf14backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…db47backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…745fbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…251bbacked Yes | 59c | 24.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b47…fe2fbacked Yes | 60c | 23.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 44c | 23.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…ebc1backed Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…50ddbacked No | 45c | 22.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…ae4fbacked Yes | 60c | 21.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Yes | 60c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f2d8backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…ea82backed Yes | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.