TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76f1…745f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$16
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Gautier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$39.01
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$37.01
Wood vs. Delgadobacked Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$122.42
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22.67
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters backed Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$32.3
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.99
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,152.45
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairabacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santosbacked dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+133.9%+$62.91
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$236.69
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+70.7%+$14.57
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$41.49
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$186.97
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+67.8%+$94.62
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+270.4%+$32.44
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+53.8%+$29.62
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+30.2%+$43.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.