Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0edadbd5ade6471c9b1539b9ff1c09337756717618e777dbf13bc3c17d1cedc8

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Natus Vincereof Team Liquid, Natus Vincere
Resolved: Feb 15, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $236,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $264,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,456 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid	66c	33,765$22,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,263.95	551	57%314 W · 237 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Natus Vincere	74c	23,659$17,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,234.01	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	-7.9wins	-0.14per pick	72cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere	37c	20,000$7,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,559.82	426	50%213 W · 213 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182b…f3d3backed Team Liquid	65c	10,000$6,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,499.94	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere	47c	7,934$3,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,190.31	103	42.7%44 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere	37c	7,800$2,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,948.87	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid	49c	7,776$3,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,832.9	545	56.5%308 W · 237 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Team Liquid	63c	7,080$4,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,460.38	66	63.6%42 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Natus Vincere	35c	6,514$2,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,234.29	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Liquid	64c	5,500$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid	42c	4,339$1,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,809.66	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcff4…3609backed Natus Vincere	38c	4,000$1,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,466.47	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere	51c	3,815$1,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,876.41	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere	50c	3,688$1,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,842.54	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Natus Vincere	34c	3,500$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,305	161	42.9%69 W · 92 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere	57c	3,481$1,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.43	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Team Liquid	71c	3,172$2,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,247.32	154	57.1%88 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere	38c	2,918$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,817.43	476	60.7%289 W · 187 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere	35c	2,805$982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,823.21	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid	39c	2,753$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.5	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere	28c	2,747$776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,971.49	328	54.9%180 W · 148 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere	43c	2,715$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,548.64	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere	35c	2,608$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,695.54	254	44.5%113 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid	48c	2,511$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.63	396	60.1%238 W · 158 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed Team Liquid	39c	2,300$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.5	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd3…d057backed Team Liquid	49c	2,270$1,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,106	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere	33c	2,185$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,454.11	666	62.2%414 W · 252 L	+60.2wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere	35c	1,989$692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,296.63	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere	52c	1,864$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.13	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid	63c	1,823$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.66	568	48.8%277 W · 291 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Team Liquid	30c	1,650$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid	65c	1,595$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044.25	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Liquid	59c	1,502$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.41	172	48.3%83 W · 89 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Natus Vincere	34c	1,500$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.99	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2760…ef06backed Team Liquid	64c	1,430$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.62	107	59.8%64 W · 43 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Liquid	68c	1,420$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid	64c	1,400$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892	290	47.9%139 W · 151 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…50debacked Team Liquid	62c	1,235$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.92	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Team Liquid	57c	1,231$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Liquid	47c	1,160$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.01	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-5.7wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere	48c	1,085$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.38	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere	34c	1,067$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.56	587	44%258 W · 329 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Team Liquid	63c	999.99$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.99	142	53.5%76 W · 66 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere	64c	895.24$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.37	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid	57c	890.73$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.56	269	57.6%155 W · 114 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid	42c	862$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.7	344	43.9%151 W · 193 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Natus Vincere	35c	857.14$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.14	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Natus Vincere	37c	814.37$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.37	213	46.5%99 W · 114 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f1…9562backed Team Liquid	66c	807.73$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.35	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	71cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Natus Vincere	34c	792.41$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.99	283	41%116 W · 167 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere	61c	757.38$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.38	603	49.9%301 W · 302 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x95d6…9aeabacked Team Liquid	39c	725.49$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid	52c	720.83$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376	264	53%140 W · 124 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Natus Vincere	44c	704.34$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.43	450	46.7%210 W · 240 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5d…d45fbacked Team Liquid	36c	678.86$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.25	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Natus Vincere	77c	652.13$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.13	124	59.7%74 W · 50 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51a7…612bbacked Team Liquid	36c	652.02$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.92	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Team Liquid	65c	649.96$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.47	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5554…98f9backed Team Liquid	49c	610.72$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	60	66.7%40 W · 20 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Natus Vincere	37c	605.29$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.33	295	48.5%143 W · 152 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere	37c	580$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.4	605	52.6%318 W · 287 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Natus Vincere	35c	572.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.34	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid	27c	572.57$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.03	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Natus Vincere	35c	569.14$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.94	103	34%35 W · 68 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Team Liquid	53c	566.21$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Natus Vincere	49c	555$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.15	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ebc…c639backed Natus Vincere	37c	541.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.14	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere	34c	537.25$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.58	647	44.4%287 W · 360 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere	28c	500$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere	35c	499.52$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.68	465	35.1%163 W · 302 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Team Liquid	35c	486.85$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.4	58	29.3%17 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe599…0dd3backed Team Liquid	62c	469.89$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	35cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Natus Vincere	36c	466.25$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.4	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42c…786bbacked Team Liquid	22c	451.45$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.66	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a37…c99cbacked Team Liquid	59c	438.22$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.2	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Natus Vincere	37c	411.78$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.42	345	61.2%211 W · 134 L	+17.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26a5…6d4bbacked Team Liquid	32c	393.96$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.17	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed Team Liquid	12c	393.75$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere	33c	385$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.37	779	41.1%320 W · 459 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Natus Vincere	35c	378.27$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.95	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3787…57aebacked Team Liquid	61c	353.58$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.88	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Liquid	60c	350$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.5	198	56.1%111 W · 87 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…464fbacked Team Liquid	22c	341.19$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.38	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere	37c	333.24$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.24	552	51.6%285 W · 267 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere	62c	330.22$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.91	774	58.5%453 W · 321 L	+75.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Natus Vincere	33c	304.15$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.15	171	46.8%80 W · 91 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Team Liquid	66c	297.03$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.04	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere	34c	295$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Team Liquid	65c	293$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.45	876	45.7%400 W · 476 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15f…7deebacked Team Liquid	66c	277.89$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.41	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid	30c	270$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.2	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x542f…285bbacked Team Liquid	66c	258.15$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Team Liquid	35c	253.31$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	65	66.2%43 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfebc…0194backed Team Liquid	64c	244$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.12	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid	10c	236.46$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Liquid	15c	228.08$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.14	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid	65c	226.37$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-15.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf524…5b3abacked Natus Vincere	65c	216.66$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.83	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e8…b8f7backed Team Liquid	64c	213.46$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.63	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	70cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Liquid	66c	210$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.6	136	57.4%78 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event