TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x182b…f3d3backed Team Liquid78c37,811$29,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,363.394548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Team Liquid70c29,093$20,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,779.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid73c20,387$14,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,481.7120159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Natus Vincere27c15,786$4,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,213.258655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere30c13,584$4,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,113.6319847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Natus Vincere30c11,682$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.192133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Liquid74c11,322$8,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,975.685757.9%33 W · 24 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick72cpaid-22.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Natus Vincere26c9,609$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.4311839.8%47 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Natus Vincere30c9,277$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7832356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere20c8,472$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.8310342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Team Liquid79c8,020$6,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.726566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid72c8,000$5,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.9110236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere25c7,361$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.631,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Natus Vincere18c6,283$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.215047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Natus Vincere12c6,180$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.584027.5%11 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Natus Vincere28c5,885$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.2128341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere20c5,558$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.281,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd3…d057backed Natus Vincere18c5,482$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Team Liquid70c5,430$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.0218075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Natus Vincere32c5,169$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Natus Vincere26c5,115$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.94443.2%19 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Natus Vincere26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Team Liquid73c4,840$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.914060%24 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Team Liquid75c4,834$3,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.8411359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf056…b5dfbacked Natus Vincere26c4,375$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.651471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere26c4,200$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.9910445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Natus Vincere21c4,034$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.913941%16 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere20c4,000$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.091,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Natus Vincere28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1208242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere20c4,000$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.691,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed Team Liquid73c3,872$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.1524045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere1c3,758$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.346169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Natus Vincere28c3,602$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007341.1%30 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Natus Vincere21c3,539$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.865832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9780…bbefbacked Team Liquid74c3,379$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.791450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid74c3,375$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.4932854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere17c3,287$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.0220949.3%103 W · 106 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid76c3,273$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.1815345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9846535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere26c2,987$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.0725444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba6…f584backed Natus Vincere31c2,394$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere24c2,316$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.812,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Team Liquid76c2,292$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.6521350.7%108 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere28c2,282$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.4333746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6c…88d9backed Team Liquid74c2,210$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.69757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa787…a9d1backed Team Liquid71c2,164$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.572839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ebc…c639backed Natus Vincere28c2,143$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Natus Vincere28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56051140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf70a…541dbacked Natus Vincere14c1,993$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Natus Vincere27c1,900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51313441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8512…b968backed Natus Vincere25c1,794$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Natus Vincere28c1,757$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.863050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe87…71d8backed Natus Vincere19c1,645$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Natus Vincere13c1,560$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb88…b1d7backed Natus Vincere23c1,549$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.993228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid71c1,502$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.5718452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…7328backed Team Liquid73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Team Liquid72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42034561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Natus Vincere28c1,400$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.136240.3%25 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Natus Vincere24c1,371$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.773033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0505…db98backed Team Liquid74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Team Liquid74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.814648.6%71 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabe0…0263backed Natus Vincere6c1,318$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.521560%9 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a37…c99cbacked Team Liquid72c1,245$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.13046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f99…f4d5backed Team Liquid73c1,233$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.881533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Natus Vincere26c1,227$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32415131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Team Liquid69c1,193$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdea7…e412backed Natus Vincere15c1,152$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid75c1,129$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.0126957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Team Liquid73c1,100$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29614253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Natus Vincere27c1,088$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.331030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked Team Liquid79c1,078$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3328062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cc…72afbacked Natus Vincere20c1,071$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.185425.9%14 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-41.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa794…1361backed Natus Vincere27c1,059$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Natus Vincere34c1,039$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35120727.5%57 W · 150 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Team Liquid72c1,030$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.41283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+60.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Natus Vincere15c1,005$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26064744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Natus Vincere26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605060%30 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c88…1275backed Natus Vincere28c992.86$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa279…fd20backed Natus Vincere18c991.35$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked Natus Vincere9c949.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.16454.7%35 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Natus Vincere27c915.73$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.253259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Natus Vincere19c897.02$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.078950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Team Liquid74c892.51$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.051681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Team Liquid72c854$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.121650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe96e…f963backed Natus Vincere28c825$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere22c808.47$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.532,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2089557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Natus Vincere27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21669235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed Team Liquid72c799.99$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Liquid74c789.03$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7114058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Natus Vincere22c777$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.165954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Team Liquid68c754.69$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.196725.4%17 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Team Liquid80c745.58$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere25c745.27$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Team Liquid72c721.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.165850%29 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Natus Vincere28c719.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa55a…e2bfbacked Natus Vincere14c718.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere18c714$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3414121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.