Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69ac1064812d817f03bde9f9c443cf524d25807eb990805630cf620c2bbfece6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Team Liquid | 78c | 37,811$29,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,363.39 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Team Liquid | 70c | 29,093$20,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,779.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 20,387$14,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481.71 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 15,786$4,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.25 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 13,584$4,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.63 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 11,682$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Liquid | 74c | 11,322$8,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.68 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 9,609$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.43 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 9,277$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 8,472$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.83 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Liquid | 79c | 8,020$6,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.72 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 8,000$5,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.91 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 7,361$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.63 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 6,283$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.2 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 6,180$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.58 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 5,885$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.21 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 5,558$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.28 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 5,482$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Liquid | 70c | 5,430$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.02 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 5,169$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 5,115$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.9 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 4,840$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.91 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Team Liquid | 75c | 4,834$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.84 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…b5dfbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 4,375$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.65 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 4,200$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 4,034$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.91 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 4,000$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.09 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 4,000$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.69 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Liquid | 73c | 3,872$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.15 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 3,758$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 3,602$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 3,539$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.86 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…bbefbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 3,379$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 74c | 3,375$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.49 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 3,287$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.02 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid | 76c | 3,273$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.18 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,987$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.07 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…f584backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 2,394$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 2,316$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.81 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 2,292$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.65 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,282$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.43 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6c…88d9backed Team Liquid | 74c | 2,210$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…a9d1backed Team Liquid | 71c | 2,164$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 1,993$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…b968backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,794$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,757$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…71d8backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,645$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 1,560$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,549$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,502$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.57 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…7328backed Team Liquid | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,400$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.13 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,371$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.77 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0505…db98backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.8 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…0263backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 1,318$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…c99cbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 1,245$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Team Liquid | 73c | 1,233$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,227$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 1,193$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea7…e412backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 1,152$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,129$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.01 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Liquid | 73c | 1,100$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,088$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 1,078$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…72afbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,071$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,059$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,039$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 207 | 27.5%57 W · 150 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,030$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 1,005$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…1275backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 992.86$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 991.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 949.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 915.73$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 897.02$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Team Liquid | 74c | 892.51$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.05 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Team Liquid | 72c | 854$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…f963backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 825$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 808.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Team Liquid | 72c | 799.99$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 789.03$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.71 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 777$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Liquid | 68c | 754.69$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.19 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Team Liquid | 80c | 745.58$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 745.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Team Liquid | 72c | 721.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 719.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…e2bfbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 718.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 714$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.