TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3260…85dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST6454.7%35 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$261
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$73.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+233.3%+$280
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$522
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37%+$74.25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$23.9
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60.37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$434.43
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+128.2%+$188.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$153
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$88
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$113.07
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$236
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$166.34
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.7%+$86.34
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$62.37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$32.05
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+169%+$669.44
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$139.32
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$340.38
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-73.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+138.1%+$14.5
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.74
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.